The Peterborough Examiner

Brexit fiasco shows the dark underside of economic integratio­n

- THOMAS WALKOM Twitter: @tomwalkom

As Justin Trudeau travels Asia seeking new free-trade deals, he may want to spare a thought for embattled British Prime Minister Theresa May.

May is perhaps the unluckiest politician in the Western world. As home secretary under former prime minister David Cameron, she opposed Britain’s divorce from the European Union during the so-called Brexit referendum of 2016.

But as the person who replaced Cameron, she is charged with the near-impossible job of making that divorce happen.

That job has cost her the support of at least nine cabinet ministers and may ultimately destroy her prime ministersh­ip.

At one level, Brexit is a uniquely British story of political backstabbi­ng, hubris and incompeten­ce spawned by factional disputes within the ruling Conservati­ve Party.

But at another, it is an object lesson of how difficult it is for countries that have linked their economies in the name of efficiency to reverse course and regain the sovereignt­y they once so casually abandoned.

That’s the lesson Canada’s prime minister may want to keep in mind as he solicits free trade with countries ranging from tiny Laos to mighty China.

Like Stephen Harper before him, Justin Trudeau is a fan of free trade. He supported and ultimately completed Harper’s trade and investment pact with the European Union. He did the same with the 11-nation Trans-Pacific deal.

He has spent much of his time in office trying to salvage as much as possible from U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to rewrite the North American Free Trade Agreement.

This week, Canada’s peripateti­c prime minister was in Singapore promoting a free-trade pact with the 10 countries that make up the Associatio­n of South-East Asian Nations: Indonesia, Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, Philippine­s, Vietnam, Burma, Cambodia, Brunei and Laos.

While there, he also discussed the possibilit­y of free trade with the prime minister of China then headed to a summit of Asian and Pacific nations in Papua New Guinea to talk up — you guessed it — free trade.

Trudeau’s trade odyssey has taken on new urgency as the Liberal government searches for ways to reduce Canada’s dependence on Trump’s America.

But as the British are discoverin­g, economic integratio­n — however noble the motive — is difficult to reverse.

Britain’s 1973 decision to join what was then called the European Economic Community seemed logical at the time. It had lost its empire. Its future appeared to lie with Europe.

The United Kingdom remained a reluctant European. It refused to surrender its currency. It demanded exemption from some common policies. It whined about EU directives.

Nonetheles­s, its fate became increasing­ly interwoven with that of the EU.

The Good Friday agreement of 1998 that brought peace to Northern Ireland was predicated on an open border between Ulster and the Irish Republic. That was easy to accomplish as long as both the United Kingdom and Ireland were members of the EU. But with the U.K. soon to be out of Europe, that open border is in danger of being hardened up.

Will Republican­s in the North accept this? Or will there be a renewal of Ireland’s troubles?

Yet if the border between Ulster and the rest of the U.K. is hardened instead (as

May has proposed), will Northern Ireland’s unionists rebel?

Will Brexit, once accomplish­ed, finally drive pro-EU Scotland to secede?

More generally, can the U.K.’s Europe-oriented political economy be taken apart without wreaking havoc?

Is free trade reversible without causing massive harm? The Brexit experience suggests no. Economic integratio­n, it seems, is a one-way street.

As it scours the world looking for more free-trade deals, Ottawa might want to keep that in mind.

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