Freeland’s imprint on foreign affairs won’t disappear: analysts
‘You don’t lose anything’ by shuffling her to another cabinet post
OTTAWA — Whether or not Prime Minister Justin Trudeau shuffles her to a new cabinet post on Wednesday, Chrystia Freeland’s imprint on Canada’s foreign policy will remain visible for some time to come, analysts suggest.
That will be especially true in how Canada pushes forward with its top priority: getting the new North American freetrade deal ratified and reinforcing the crucial economic bond with its key ally, the United States.
But her decision to position Canada as a leader on a crisis in Canada’s greater neighbourhood, the meltdown of Venezuela, may be Freeland’s most influential move as the country’s top diplomat.
Freeland was appointed foreign affairs minister in January 2017 with one very important marching order: deal with the newly elected U.S. President Donald Trump and keep the North American Free Trade Agreement, and Canada’s economy, from being trashed.
Freeland largely accomplished that, even though NAFTA’s replacement has yet to be ratified. But behind the headline-grabbing fight to save a trade deal that was crucial to Canada’s economic survival, a debate simmered within the Department of Foreign Affairs over how to address the very real economic and political implosion that was underway in another nearby country: Venezuela.
According to Ben Rowswell, Canada’s then-ambassador to Venezuela, the internal division at Global Affairs Canada boiled down to this: Should the problem be left to its Latin American neighbours, or should Canada step up to help?
Three years later, Canada is a key member of the Lima Group, a bloc of about a dozen countries in the Americas, minus the U.S., that has made a concerted, if not successful, effort to promote democracy in Venezuela and stanch its epic flow of refugees.
“One of the reasons why Canada is at the centre of regional and international discussions of Venezuela is very much due to the personal initiative of Minister Freeland,” said Rowswell, president of the Canadian International Council.
Though she represents a downtown Toronto riding, Freeland is fond of her Alberta roots — she was born in Peace
River — and that connection could be of some use to a governing party with no seats there or in Saskatchewan.
Having faced unpredictable negotiating partners abroad, Freeland might appeal to Trudeau as an intergovernmental affairs minister, or in some capacity where contending with fractious premiers would be a big part of the job.
As a journalist, she reported on finance and particularly economic inequality, one of the Liberal government’s policy preoccupations.
As effective as she was, especially in dealing with the Trump administration on NAFTA, no minister in any portfolio is indispensable, said Colin Robertson, a retired diplomat with extensive experience in Washington and across the U.S.
“I think she’s done a superb job as foreign minister. But I don’t think she has to have that job,” said Robertson, vice-president of the Canadian Global Affairs Institute.
Freeland’s approach to widening Canada’s approach to relations with the U.S. beyond the White House and the Capitol will be her greatest policy legacy, and one that any successor will have to carry forward, he said.
With NAFTA under threat, Freeland presided over a charm offensive that targeted key congressional leaders, as well as state governors and business leaders in key states that had strong economic ties with their partner to the north. It involved the outreach of about a dozen cabinet ministers.
Transport Minister Marc Garneau and Environment Minister Catherine McKenna were among them, and both have the bona fides to take over where Freeland left off, Robertson argued.
“Freeland is always going to speak out. You don’t lose anything. She will still be in cabinet,” he said.
But Bessma Momani, a senior fellow at the Centre for International Governance Innovation in Waterloo, said there isn’t a deep pool of options from which Trudeau could draw.
“These are important bilateral personal relationships that are built. In a minority Parliament, this might not last very long. You don’t want to put someone in there for two years, at most, where they don’t really get a chance to grasp the characters and personalities.”