Avengers: Endgame poised to topple box-office records
NEW YORK — By any measure, the release of Avengers: Endgame is a movie-theatre event unlike any other.
When the 22nd film in Marvel Studios’ saga opens in North American theatres tonight, it will land on more screens than any movie ever has in U.S. and Canadian theatres. And even still, the 4,600 theatres the Walt Disney Co. has lined up may still not be able to keep up with demand.
Beginning Thursday night, many theatres will stay open round-theclock. Seventeen AMC Theatres won’t close for 72 hours straight. Some $120 million in presales have already set records on advance ticketing services Fandango and Atom. AMC’s website was crashed by early Endgame ticket buyers.
“It looks like we’ve gotten Thanos’ snap,” AMC said at the time.
Just how massive the ticket sales will be by the end of Sunday has been one of the one of the industry’s favourite guessing games. Can it clear $300 million domestically? Is a $1 billion worldwide weekend possible? Will Avengers: Endgame eventually rival the $2.8 billion total gross of Avatar in 2009?
Regardless, records will fall – and they have already started to. Disney said Wednesday that Avengers: Endgame grossed about $107.2 million in China on Wednesday, where it first opened. That’s already the most lucrative single day ever in Chinese theatres. Only Star Wars: The Force Awakens had a larger single day gross, and its one-day $119.1 million haul came from both U.S. and Canada theatres.
“This is a seismic box-office event,” said Paul Dergarabedian, senior media analyst for Comscore. “This is like the 100-yearflood of movies.”
The current opening weekend record is held by the last Avengers movie – the 2018 preamble to Endgame, Infinity War.
It debuted with $257.7 million domestically and $640.5 million worldwide.
Both of those records are likely toast. The worldwide haul is certain to be obliterated because Infinity War didn’t debut in China until two weeks later. Endgame is opening worldwide more or less simultaneously everywhere except Russia. Estimates range from $260 million to $300 million domestically, and between $800 million and $1 billion globally.
Helping the cause is that reviews, at 97 per cent fresh on Rotten Tomatoes, have been among the best for any Marvel movie. Endgame concludes not just the arc of the Avengers movies but signals the completion of the 22-movie Marvel Cinematic Universe, as mapped out by Marvel Studios president Kevin Feige.
Feige has been tight-lipped about what the next phase will be, though he has new reinforcements. Disney’s acquisition of 20th Century Fox brings Marvel’s X-Men and Deadpool under the same roof.
Endgame will give a muchneeded jolt to the box office, which is running about 16 per cent behind the pace of 2018. Ironically, though, the weekend won’t be much an improvement over the same time frame last year since that’s when Infinity War opened. And no other wide release is daring to open against Endgame.
Ultimately, the only thing standing in the way of Endgame is Endgame, itself. With a running time of three hours and one minute, theatres won’t be able to fit as many screenings in per day as they’d like to.
“It looks like the demand is going to outstrip the supply but theatres are doing their best to keep up with that,” said Dergarabedian. “Look, there’s only 24 hours in a day and it’s a three hour and one minute movie.”