The Telegram (St. John's)

Demand growing for minerals

Investors bullish on Newfoundla­nd and Labrador’s mining potential

- JULIO MEJIA AND ALEX WHALEN Julio Mejia and Alex Whalen are analysts at the Fraser Institute.

With the economic downturn of the pandemic largely in the rearview mirror, Newfoundla­nd and Labrador is poised to be the third-fastest-growing provincial economy in 2023 (trailing only Saskatchew­an and Alberta). Strong commoditie­s markets are boosting the province’s oil and gas sector, but it’s important not to overlook another growing industry in the province — mining.

CRITICAL MINERALS

According to the provincial government, the province is home to 23 of the 31 critical minerals in Canada, in addition to base metals. In 2022, 11 mines across Newfoundla­nd and Labrador produced approximat­ely $5.4 billion in mineral shipments and employed more than 8,000 people. So mining is already a major industry, but investors are clearly bullish on the province’s potential. In fact, according to the latest survey of senior executives in the mining industry (published by the Fraser Institute), Newfoundla­nd and Labrador is the fourth most attractive jurisdicti­on for mining investment (out of 62 jurisdicti­ons) trailing only Nevada, Western Australia and Saskatchew­an.

Broadly speaking, the survey measures two categories — mineral potential and government policies.

For mineral potential, Newfoundla­nd and Labrador is the ninth most attractive jurisdicti­on in the world. While much of the province’s current mining activity is in iron ore, nickel and copper, recent gold discoverie­s might explain why investors view the province as a premier mining investment destinatio­n.

In fact, the province’s Valentine Gold Project passed environmen­tal approval in 2022 and is set to become Atlantic Canada’s largest gold mine. And the province is wellpositi­oned with a strong stock of critical minerals, which are increasing­ly in demand.

But the big move was for government policies, as the province rose from 18th (out of 84 jurisdicti­ons) in 2021, to fifth most attractive jurisdicti­on in 2022 (the latest year of survey data).

ROOM FOR IMPROVEMEN­T

Why? For starters, none of the survey respondent­s expressed concern over Newfoundla­nd and Labrador’s security, trade barriers and legal system. And 94 per cent of respondent­s were “not concerned” about the province’s political stability, regulatory duplicatio­n, availabili­ty of skilled labour and uncertaint­y regarding the enforcemen­t of existing regulation.

However, there’s still room for policy improvemen­ts. For example, 29 per cent of respondent­s expressed concern about uncertaint­y around protected land, and 24 per cent expressed concern about the province’s infrastruc­ture and community developmen­t agreements. Additional­ly, 18 per cent of respondent­s expressed concern about uncertaint­y regarding environmen­tal regulation, disputed land claims and labour regulation­s.

Despite these areas of concern, private investment in the mining industry already plays a crucial role in Newfoundla­nd and Labrador’s economy, with great potential for the future. By creating the most competitiv­e policy environmen­t, the government can help fully reap the rewards of this potential.

Ultimately, it’s up to policymake­rs to build on an already-competitiv­e policy regime so the province can best meet the growing world demand for minerals.

 ?? ?? The Marathon Gold site at Valentine Lake in central Newfoundla­nd.
The Marathon Gold site at Valentine Lake in central Newfoundla­nd.

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