Times Colonist

U.S. examines 16 trade partners, Trudeau confident in neighbour

- MIKE BLANCHFIEL­D

OTTAWA — Justin Trudeau is driving home the message that Canada and the United States share a special relationsh­ip that relies on the continued smooth flow of commerce across their border.

The prime minister says that means jobs in both countries, a message Canada will continue to impress on the Americans as Donald Trump prepares to hold his country’s major trading partners to account.

The U.S. president wants to determine which countries are using abusive trade practices to run export surpluses — and Canada is among those to be examined.

The president will sign an executive order today demanding a study within 90 days of all the ways other countries allegedly pull a fast one on the United States through anti-competitiv­e trade practices.

It will be a systematic examinatio­n of things such as non-tariff barriers, lax legal enforcemen­t, currency manipulati­on and other means that keep out American goods while other countries boost their own exports.

“The United States regularly assesses what its partners are doing and what’s going on in the trade relationsh­ip. And that’s something that we’re certainly happy with,” Trudeau said Friday.

“The relationsh­ip between Canada and the United States is unlike the relationsh­ip between any two countries in the world.”

Trudeau and his cabinet have mounted a full-court press on Washington to drive home that message, and that’s not about to stop now, as businesses and provincial and municipal government­s continue their efforts in tandem with Ottawa, he said.

“It is of fundamenta­l importance to good jobs in both countries that we continue to strengthen and ease the flow of goods, services and people back and forth across our border in secure ways.”

The goal of the Trump study is to quantify exactly how much of the U.S. global trade deficit is due to supposedly unfair practices, and seek remedies for the imbalance.

“There has never been this kind of systematic analysis,” Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said at the White House.

“It will be very heavily based on an empirical framework.”

Ross stressed that he wasn’t singling Canada out.

There are about 16 countries on the list, which includes places with the biggest trade surpluses with the U.S. The biggest is no contest: China, with a $347 billion US surplus with the U.S. last year.

That’s followed by Japan, Germany and Mexico, and a list of U.S. allies such as France, Italy, India and Thailand.

Of all the countries, Canada is listed as having the smallest surplus. It was the last of the countries Ross mentioned. U.S. government statistics show Canada even ran a trade deficit of $11.9 billion US with the U.S. in goods and services in 2015, before running a surplus in 2016.

Ross acknowledg­ed an obvious reason for that Canadian surplus: oil. American energy consumptio­n patterns require it, and that results in millions of barrels per day in imports that can’t easily be waved away by executive order.

“Undoubtedl­y we’ll conclude that with some of the countries no action should be taken,” Ross said.

“A lot of what Canada’s deficit comes from is oil.”

When oil prices rise, Canada habitually runs a trade surplus with the U.S; the opposite happened in 2015 when they dropped. Ross pegged last year’s Canadian trade surplus at $11.9 billion.

If Canadians want clues about what the study might find, those clues already exist.

The U.S. already publishes annual studies chroniclin­g its trading partners’ alleged abuses. Ross, in fact, claimed Thursday that no country trades as freely as the U.S. — including some others that like to brag about how they’re supposedly free traders.

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