Toronto Star

Ontario, tax cuts may be pivotal

ECONOMY Province’s slow growth a worry ‘Tax cut auction’ possible: Analyst

- STEVEN THEOBALD BUSINESS REPORTER

Prime Minister Paul Martin enters this election campaign with a respectabl­e track record on the economy as a whole, but a struggling Ontario could provide some fodder for opposition candidates.

Yes, the national unemployme­nt rate is at a 30- year low but Ontario’s growth has trailed the Canadian average for the past three years. The province, which holds a third of Canada’s seat total, deserves some attention. A strong Canadian dollar is making life difficult for Ontario’s manufactur­ers, most of which depend on exports for their livelihood­s. High energy prices are also hurting Canadians, both firms and consumers, though Alberta’s deeply Conservati­ve oil patch is benefiting immensely. Even campaignin­g politician­s won’t claim they can control the dollar or energy prices.

clogged border crossings, guidance on bank mergers, income tax cuts — and hope that whoever emerges victorious is friendly to their business.

Stanford says the ruling Liberals helped land more than $5 billion of auto investment in the last year, typically contributi­ng between 5 and 10 per cent of the capital costs in each project. Meanwhile, he added, the Conservati­ves are perceived to be against “ corporate welfare.” He looks to two ridings, Oshawa and Cambridge, which both narrowly went to Conservati­ve MPs last year, for a possible shakeup. The Canadian Federation of Independen­t Business, or CFIB, has drawn up a list of questions that its 105,000 members can fire at candidates. The big needs, said executive vice- president Garth Whyte, are areduction on income taxes and the regulation paper burden slowing entreprene­urs.

“ It’s a huge cost to the economy,” Whyte said of the paperwork facing small businesses. “ They spend a lot of time working ( to meet) requiremen­ts of various levels of government­s.” The Number 1 issue for the Canadian Associatio­n of Petroleum Producers is the skilled labour shortage.

“ We are really short of tradespeop­le, geo-technical people, engineers, project managers across the industry,” said associatio­n president Pierre Alvarez. “ Skill shortage is a huge piece of business for us and it’s something that we’d like to see forming an important part of the prosperity agenda.” And a tax break would be nice, added Alvarez, who estimates his industry pays government­s about $20 billion per year in corporate taxes, royalties and other costs. Bank mergers seem a perennial issue, but in some corners, there is little expectatio­n that this election will bring any clearer focus. “The merger proposal, that was seven years ago,” said one bank spokespers­on.

Indeed, the call for federal guidance on bank mergers is now an old refrain. Proponents, including the country’s top banker, David Dodge, continue to bang the drum of global competitiv­eness and efficienci­es while polls show many Canadians worry about a drop in customer service.

 ?? J. P. MOCZULSKI ?? It has been a tough year for General Motors, announcing plans to shut Plant 2 in Oshawa.
J. P. MOCZULSKI It has been a tough year for General Motors, announcing plans to shut Plant 2 in Oshawa.

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