Toronto Star

> EXPLAINER: WHY COLD IS WORSE THAN HEAT

- DOYLE RICE

Cold weather is 20 times as deadly as hot weather, and it’s not the extreme low or high temperatur­es that cause the most deaths, according to a new study.

The study found the majority of deaths occurred on moderately hot and moderately cold days instead of during extreme temperatur­es.

“Although the risk of mortality due to extremely cold or hot days is actually higher, they are less frequent,” said lead author Antonio Gasparrini of the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.

The study — published in the British journal The Lancet — analyzed data on more than 74 million deaths in 13 countries between 1985 and 2012. Of those, 5.4 million deaths were related to cold, while 311,000 were related to heat.

Because the study included countries under different socio-economic background­s and with varying climates, it was representa­tive of temperatur­e-related deaths worldwide, the study said.

The sharp distinctio­n between heatand cold-related deaths is because low temperatur­es cause more problems for the body’s cardiovasc­ular and respirator­y systems, it added.

“Public-health policies focus almost exclusivel­y on minimizing the health con- sequences of heat waves,” Gasparrini said. “Our findings suggest that these measures need to be refocused and extended to take account of a whole range of effects associated with temperatur­e.”

This report backs up a U.S. study last year from the National Center for Health Statistics, which found that cold kills more than twice as many Americans as heat.

However, both studies contradict data from the National Weather Service, which found hot weather to be the biggest killer, followed by tornadoes, hurricanes and floods.

According to the service, cold is only the eighth-leading cause of death.

The discrepanc­y is likely because the weather service data is not as thorough and focuses more on the weather than the number of deaths caused by it.

The most recent study doesn’t project what its findings could mean for the future, particular­ly with climate change warming much of the globe over the next century.

“Extrapolat­ing the results of this study for this purpose would only provide speculatio­ns not based on evidence,” Gasparrini said. However, he has received a grant from the United Kingdom to study that and hopes “we will answer this question soon,” he said.

 ?? GETTY IMAGES FILE PHOTO ?? Diego Ramos, who is homeless and lives under nearby building scaffoldin­g, pauses as he clears a sidewalk of snow in lower Manhattan in January, 2014.
GETTY IMAGES FILE PHOTO Diego Ramos, who is homeless and lives under nearby building scaffoldin­g, pauses as he clears a sidewalk of snow in lower Manhattan in January, 2014.

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