Toronto Star

Why immigratio­n is a chequebook issue for Canadians

Making lives easier for newcomers will help keep economy competitiv­e

- David Olive

It is a universall­y accepted fact among Canadians that we are largely a country of immigrants.

With less than one half of 1 per cent of the world’s population, Canada is the 11th largest economy. We have long known that this improbable success has much to do with the wisdom and tenacity of the country’s earliest immigrants to settle in this part of the planet, followed by successive generation­s of new Canadians.

Conversely, countries with far larger population­s, but with aversions or hostility toward immigratio­n and multicultu­ralism, or with perpetual conflict among ethnicitie­s and religious groups seeking dominance or absolute rule, have almost invariably suffered.

OTTAWA— Manufactur­ing sales fell in August, following three consecutiv­e monthly increases, but the decline was less than economists had expected.

Statistics Canada said Friday that manufactur­ing sales slipped 0.2 per cent to $52.1 billion in August due to a drop in the petroleum and coal industry as well as the auto parts and aerospace product and parts industries.

However, gains were made in mo- tor vehicle assembly and wood products.

Economists had expected a drop of 1.0 per cent, according to Thomson Reuters.

TD Bank economist Jonathan Bendiner said that despite moving slightly lower in August, the manufactur­ing sector has showed positive momentum in recent months. “Looking ahead, we expect manufactur­ing activity to rise through the remainder of 2015 and into 2016,” Bendiner said.

“The combinatio­n of solid U.S. economic growth and a soft Canadian dollar should keep demand for Canadian-made goods strong.”

The Bank of Canada is expected to release its updated outlook for the Canadian economy next week along with its latest interest rate announceme­nt. In the summer, the central bank predicted the economy would grow at an annual pace of 1.5 per cent in the third quarter, after contractin­g in the first half of the year.

Private-sector forecasts have suggested that the economy grew faster than that in the third quarter, with estimates of an annual pace of 2.5 per cent and higher. However, questions have been raised about how much of that strength will carry over into the final three months of the year.

Economist David Madani of Capital Economics suggested the manu- facturing results released Friday hinted at an economic slowdown.

“Overall, while there are signs that certain manufactur­ing industries are benefiting from stronger U.S. demand reinforced by the lower Canadian dollar, softening domestic demand is hindering sales in others,” Madani said. “With the fallout from the oil price shock still unfolding, we still have our doubts about longerterm growth prospects.”

Overall, manufactur­ing sales were down in eight of 21 main industries tracked, representi­ng approximat­ely half of the sector.

The petroleum and coal product industry saw sales fall 5.2 per cent to $5.1billion due to a drop in prices and volume of products sold. Auto parts sales dropped 4.4 per cent to $2.5 billion, while the aerospace product and parts industry fell 3.5 per cent to $1.9 billion in August.

Motor vehicle assembly sales rose 6.7 per cent to $5.7 billion, following maintenanc­e shutdowns in July, while wood product sales were up 5.1 per cent to $2.2 billion.

Sales declined in five provinces in August, including lower results in Quebec, Alberta and New Brunswick, offset in large part by gains in Ontario. Quebec fell 1.2 per cent, while Alberta dropped 1.9 per cent. New Brunswick decreased 7.1 per cent. Ontario sales rose 1.1 per cent.

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