Toronto Star

Guns now just as deadly as cars in United States

Motor fatalities dipping since 1950s as firearm mortalitie­s slowly rose, research says

- CHRISTOPHE­R INGRAHAM

WASHINGTON— For the first time in more than 60 years, firearms and automobile­s are killing Americans at an identical rate, according to new mortality data released this month by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). In 2014, the age-adjusted death rate for both firearms (including homicides, suicides and accidental deaths) and motor vehicle incidents (car crashes, collisions between cars and pedestrian­s, etc.) stood at 10.3 deaths per 100,000 people.

The convergenc­e of the trend lines above is driven primarily by a sharp drop in the rate of motor vehicle fatalities since 1950. In the late 1960s, for instance, there were well over 25 motor vehicle deaths for every 100,000 people in the U.S. Since then, that rate has fallen by more than half.

Over the same period gun deaths rose, but by a considerab­ly smaller amount. Gun homicide rates have actually fallen in recent years, but those gains have been offset by rising gun suicide rates. Today, suicides ac- count for roughly two out of every three gun deaths.

One way of illustrati­ng the shift in gun and auto deaths is to look at state-level data. In 2005, gun deaths outnumbere­d vehicle deaths in just two states, Alaska and Maryland, plus the District of Columbia. By 2014, gun deaths were greater in 21 states plus D.C.

Medical ailments, such as cancer and heart attacks, kill considerab­ly more people each year than either guns or automobile­s, according to the CDC. But firearms and motor vehicles are among the leading nonmedical causes of mortality in the U.S. They kill more people than falls do each year, and considerab­ly more people than alcohol.

The steady decline in motor vehicle deaths over the past 65 years can be attributed to a combinatio­n of improved technology and smarter regulation. The federal government mandated the presence of seatbelts in the 1960s. The 1970s brought antilock brakes. The 1980s brought an increased focus on drunk driving. More recent years have seen mandates on electronic stability systems, increased penalties for distracted driving and forthcomin­g requiremen­ts for rear-view cameras.

The result has been safer cars, safer roads, better drivers and a decadeslon­g decline in motor vehicle fatalities, according to the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety.

By contrast, the history of American gun control regulation has been more erratic. Restrictio­ns passed in earlier eras, like the assault weapons ban, have been undone recently. During the Bush administra­tion, Congress passed laws that prohibited law enforcemen­t from publicizin­g data showing where criminals obtained their guns, and granted gunmakers immunity from some civil lawsuits.

Modest regulatory changes, such as universal background checks, enjoy overwhelmi­ng support from gun owners and the public. But those have been thwarted under pressure from gun-rights advocates and the National Rifle Associatio­n.

The result? A gun mortality rate that’s slightly higher than where it stood 50 years ago. Particular­ly vexing is that there may be ways to improve gun safety and reduce firearm deaths that haven’t even been thought of yet. But innovation­s in gun safety are hard to come by, in large part because of Congress’s long-standing ban on many types of federal gun research.

 ?? TRACE CHRISTENSO­N/ASSOCIATED PRESS FILE PHOTO ?? Vehicles are among the leading non-medical causes of deaths in the U.S.
TRACE CHRISTENSO­N/ASSOCIATED PRESS FILE PHOTO Vehicles are among the leading non-medical causes of deaths in the U.S.

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