NFL picks: It might be time to set fire to AFC South

Indianapolis (+3) at Houston

These teams are terrible. Terrible. And yet they are a combined 6-6, and the AFC South is officially this year’s hot-weather, garbage-strike division. Houston, Indianapolis, Tennessee, Jacksonville. Watch Tennessee win this division at 7-9. Burn it all.

Pick: Indianapolis Cincinnati (+8.5) at New England

Last year the Bengals were a very good team, and then quarterback Andy Dalton broke his thumb. They nearly beat Denver and then Pittsburgh with A.J McCarron at QB, for God’s sake, and still lost one game all year by more than four points. Now? Dalton’s back, and . . . they are not great, Bob. Not great.

Pick: Cincinnati Atlanta (+7) at Seattle

One good rule in life: Now that Greg Maddux has retired to make fart jokes in private life, never believe in anything from Atlanta. Except! The Falcons had a weird loss to Tampa, and then scored 35, 45 and 48 before beating Denver. The defence is trash, but the offence is fabulous! Continue not believing, but be wary.

Pick: Atlanta