Toronto Star

Opinion: Ford willing to evolve,

- Jaime Watt is the executive chair of Navigator Ltd. and a Conservati­ve strategist. Jaime Watt

Anyone who believes the adage that “you dance with the one who brung ya” must be taken aback by the latest developmen­ts from Doug Ford’s campaign.

Justifying his decision to bounce Tanya Granic Allen as a candidate, Ford declared that “her characteri­zation of certain issues and people has been irresponsi­ble.” Those “certain issues” include public-voiced anti-Muslim and anti-gay slurs, something that was already widely documented when he joined hands with her the night he won the Conservati­ve leadership race.

And to be clear, she was not part of any centre stage throng. She was the only other leadership candidate standing in support of Ford.

Kathleen Wynne and her Liberal strategist­s clearly believed they could embarrass Ford by bringing renewed public attention to Granic Allen’s outrageous comments. What has become clear, however, is that they may have underestim­ated Ford, his political instincts and the remarkable resilience of Ford Nation.

In large measure, Ford’s rejection of Granic Allen’s candidacy in Mississaug­a Centre demonstrat­es his evolution as a leader as well as his sturdy grasp of both realpoliti­k and the back-to-basics Ontario mathematic­s curriculum he champions over sex education in provincial schools.

The equation is a simple one, as all the best political equations always are. He needed the support — and numbers — of Granic Allen and her social conservati­ve posse to beat rival, Christine Elliott.

But the moment he defeated Elliott, he needed the numbers brought by Elliott and Conservati­ve party moderates even more than he needed Granic Allen.

That’s why his first step as leader was to make peace with Elliott. Dumping Granic Allen is a further step in consolidat­ing that support.

In politics, as in business, the skills and the people that get you to the first point on your itinerary aren’t necessaril­y the same ones that can take you to your final destinatio­n.

Ford’s willingnes­s to do what it takes to win demonstrat­es a tough-minded discipline, the ability to move with alacrity and a willingnes­s to execute that positions him in stark — and favourable — contrast to others.

As it happens, parting company with Granic Allen also came with some highly desirable real estate: A generous acreage of moral high ground. Specifical­ly, it allowed Ford to draw attention to the Big Tent that both he (and his late brother) can command. “We are a party comprised of people with diverse views that if expressed responsibl­y we would respect,” he declared.

That is by no means a hollow claim. Ford has already demonstrat­ed his populist affinity for a Big Tent — he'll accept support from anyone of any race, religion or ethnicity. But when the outcry over Granic Allen’s controvers­ial remarks threatened to generate enough wind to knock that tent over, he wasn’t going to stand by and let that happen. Not even for a minute. In all of this, it’s useful not to lose sight of the fact that Ford’s Big Tent extends to political advisers as well as Ontario voters. Many of those now surroundin­g and counsellin­g Ford cut their teeth in the early days of Stephen Harper’s rise to power. Harper, much like Ford, was underestim­ated until the day he was elected prime minister of Canada.

In framing the Harper government, he and his advisers built and sustained power by successful­ly tacking from the hard right into the middle to meet the majority of Canadians. It wasn’t quite a bait-and-switch tactic, but it was reflective of the same hard-nosed politics of which Ford is clearly capable.

It’s now abundantly clear that Ford is shrewd enough to understand the importance of such a strategy.

He clearly understand­s the famous adage of the French politician Alexandre Auguste Ledru-Rollin, who said: “There go my people. I must find out where they are going so I can lead them.”

Now that the Ontario election is underway and as campaignin­g becomes more intense, Ford will continue on the path he has set. The social conservati­ves who brought him to the ball will either have to change the way they dance or accept their status as permanent political wallflower­s.

 ?? VINCE TALOTTA/TORONTO STAR FILE PHOTO ?? Doug Ford needed Tanya Granic Allen’s social conservati­ve posse to win the leadership, but now needs moderates to win the election, Jaime Watt writes.
VINCE TALOTTA/TORONTO STAR FILE PHOTO Doug Ford needed Tanya Granic Allen’s social conservati­ve posse to win the leadership, but now needs moderates to win the election, Jaime Watt writes.
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