Toronto Star

Planet’s fate sealed, so why change: Trump team

- JULIET EILPERIN, BRADY DENNIS AND CHRIS MOONEY

Last month, deep in a 500-page environmen­tal impact statement, the Trump administra­tion made a startling assumption: On its current course, the planet will warm a disastrous roughly 4 degree Celsius by the end of this century.

That would be catastroph­ic, say scientists. Coral reefs would dissolve in increasing­ly acidic oceans. Parts of Manhattan and Miami would be underwater. Extreme heat waves would routinely smother large parts of the globe. But the administra­tion did not offer this dire forecast as part of an argument to combat climate change. Just the opposite: The analysis assumes the planet’s fate is already sealed.

The draft statement, issued by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administra­tion, was written to justify President Donald Trump’s decision to freeze federal fuel efficiency standards for vehiclesbu­ilt after 2020. While the proposal would increase greenhouse gas emissions, the impact statement says that policy would be a small drop in a big, hot bucket.

“They’re saying is human activities are going to lead to this rise of carbon dioxide that is disastrous for the environmen­t and society. And then they’re saying they’re not going to do anything about it,” said Michael MacCracken, who served as a senior scientist at the U.S. Global Change Research Program from 1993 to 2002.

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