Toronto Star

Number of insolvent Canadians increases

Higher interest rates a factor

- CHRIS FOURNIER

OTTAWA— Insolvenci­es filed by Canadian consumers jumped by the most in two years amid signs recent interest rate increases are filtering through to the economy.

Insolvenci­es climbed to 11,641 in October, an increase of 9.2 per cent from a year earlier, according to a report from the Office of the Superinten­dent of Bankruptcy Canada.

Insolvenci­es surged 16 per cent from September, and are 1.5 per cent higher than 2017 on a year-to-date basis. The Bank of Canada has raised borrowing costs five times since July 2017, and Governor Stephen Poloz reiterated Thursday rates will need to rise somewhere around 2.5 per cent to 3.5 per cent, from the current 1.75 per cent, as the economy operates near capacity.

That view was reinforced by data Friday that show the country posted a record employment gain in November.

Still, recent declines in residentia­l investment and car sales suggest the higher borrowing costs are already having an impact, with the bulk of the effect still to come.

Light vehicle sales dropped the most in almost a decade last month, and growth in residentia­l mortgages has decelerate­d to the weakest pace since 1982.

Consumer insolvenci­es rose in every province except Newfoundla­nd and the three northern territorie­s. They surged 20 per cent from a year earlier in British Columbia, 16 per cent in Saskatchew­an and 9.8 per cent in Quebec.

Nationally, slightly more than half of the insolvenci­es were socalled consumer proposals, in which the debtor agrees with a creditor to only pay a certain amount of what’s owed, versus bankruptci­es.

Business insolvenci­es, meanwhile, fell 2.1 per cent in October from a year earlier, after rising 18 per cent in September.

In total, Canadian insolvenci­es were up 8.9 per cent in October from a year earlier.

Insolvenci­es climbed to 11,641 in October, an increase of 9.2 per cent from a year earlier, according to a report from the Office of the Superinten­dent of Bankruptcy Canada

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