Toronto Star

Trump predicts hell with U.S. projecting 100K dead

It’s not inevitable, says infectious disease expert, pushing distancing guidelines

- AAMER MADHANI, KEVIN FREKING AND RICARDO ALONSO-ZALDIVAR

U.S. President Donald Trump warned Americans to brace for a “hell of a bad two weeks” ahead as the White House projected there could be 100,000 to 240,000 deaths in the U.S. from the coronaviru­s pandemic even if current social distancing guidelines are maintained.

Public health officials stressed Tuesday that the number could be less if people across the country bear down on keeping their distance from one another.

“We really believe we can do a lot better than that,” said Dr. Deborah Birx, the co-ordinator of the White House coronaviru­s task force. That would require all Americans to take seriously their role in preventing the spread of disease, she said.

Added Dr. Anthony Fauci, the government’s top infectious disease expert, “This is a number that we need to anticipate, but we don’t necessaril­y have to accept it as being inevitable.”

Trump called it “a matter of life and death” for Americans to heed his administra­tion’s guidelines and predicted the country would soon see a “light at the end of the tunnel” in a pandemic that in the United States has infected about 190,000 people and killed more than 4,000, according to figures compiled by Johns Hopkins University.

“This is going to be one of the roughest two or three weeks we’ve ever had in our country,” Trump added. “We’re going to lose thousands of people.”

The jaw-dropping projection­s were laid out during a grim, two-hour White House briefing. Officials described a death toll that in a best-case scenario would probably be greater than the more than 53,000 American lives lost during the First World War. And the model’s high end neared the realm of possibilit­y that Americans lost to the virus could approach the 291,000 Americans killed on the battlefiel­d during the Second World War.

“There’s no magic bullet,” Birx said.

“There’s no magic vaccine or therapy. It’s just behaviours. Each of our behaviours, translatin­g into something that changes the course of this viral pandemic.”

It’s not only social distancing that could make a difference but also the frantic efforts by hospitals around the country to prepare for an onslaught of seriously ill patients. The better prepared hospitals are, the greater the chances of lives being saved.

There’s also a wild card when it comes to treatment: whether the experiment­al drug combinatio­n Trump has touted — a medicine for malaria and an antibiotic — will actually make a difference. That combinatio­n is already being used on thousands of patients, and Fauci said he would want to see a rigorous test of its effectiven­ess.

Trump played down concerns from New York’s Andrew Cuomo and other governors that their states’ hospitals don’t have enough ventilator­s to treat an anticipate­d crush of patients. Trump said the federal government currently has a stockpile of 10,000 ventilator­s that it plans on distributi­ng as needed.

Trump said he would also ask Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis to allow the docking of two cruise ships with passengers who have had contact with patients suffering from COVID-19. DeSantis said the state’s health-care resources are already stretched too thin.

 ?? MANDEL NGAN AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES ?? “We’re going to lose thousands of people,” President Donald Trump said Wednesday in a two-hour briefing.
MANDEL NGAN AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES “We’re going to lose thousands of people,” President Donald Trump said Wednesday in a two-hour briefing.

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