Nova Sco­tia Lib­er­als main­tain lead in new poll but sup­port sags slightly

Valley Journal Advertiser - - NEWS - BY THE CHRON­I­CLE HERALD

The pro­vin­cial Lib­er­als hold a slim lead in Nova Sco­tia, ac­cord­ing to the re­sults of a new sur­vey.

The poll, which was con­ducted by MQO Re­search via tele­phone from Oct. 18 to Nov. 3 found that, among de­cided and lean­ing vot­ers, cur­rent Lib­eral sup­port sits at 42 per cent, down three per­cent­age points from last quar­ter’s re­sults. At the same time, the rat­ing for the lead­er­ship of Pre­mier Stephen McNeil edged up from a mean score of 4.7 on a 10point scale last quar­ter to 5.0 in Oc­to­ber.

Mean­while, Pro­gres­sive Con­ser­va­tive party sup­port was up five per­cent­age points to 36 per cent and NDP sup­port was down five per­cent­age points to 15 per cent. Sup­port for the Green Party was rel­a­tively un­changed at six per cent, as was the un­de­cided con­tin­gent, which made up 42 per cent of re­spon­dents.

“Lib­eral sup­port in Halifax is the con­tin­ued source of their po­lit­i­cal strength,” said Stephen Moore, vice-pres­i­dent at MQO Re­search. “The Lib­er­als are dou­ble the next clos­est party in Halifax while they trail the Tories in the rest of the prov­ince.”

“The NDP are at a two-year low in terms of pub­lic sup­port and they need to be wor­ried. Weak­ened NDP sup­port was one of the first steps to­ward the Green surges in New Brunswick and Prince Ed­ward Is­land.”

The sur­vey also looked at the eco­nomic out­look for the prov­ince, which was rel­a­tively un­changed in Oc­to­ber. Twenty-nine per cent of Nova Sco­tians re­ported their out­look on the econ­omy had wors­ened over the past three months — down slightly from 33 per cent in July — while 52 per cent in­di­cated their out­look had stayed the same, up from 49 per cent. Only 17 per cent felt things had got­ten bet­ter, up from 14 per cent.

The poll, part of MQO’s At­lantic Mat­ters quar­terly sur­vey, in­cluded 600 ran­domly se­lected el­i­gi­ble vot­ers from across the prov­ince. The mar­gin of er­ror for the to­tal sam­ple is plus or mi­nus four per­cent­age points 19 times out of 20.

IAN FAIRCLOUGH

Sup­port for Pre­mier Stephen McNeil edged up in a new pub­lic opin­ion poll.

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