Vancouver Sun

KEY ISSUES OVERLOOKED IN RIDE-FOR-HIRE DEBATE

Alex Hemingway thinks B.C. should consider a non-profit model.

- Alex Hemingway is an economist and public finance policy analyst at the B.C. office of the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternativ­es.

There is often astonishme­nt when people learn there is no ride-hailing in British Columbia.

The provincial government has passed legislatio­n expected to bring ride-hailing to the province late next year, though questions remain about what it will look like.

The debate on ride-hailing has largely been stuck with the pro and con sides repeating familiar arguments.

Those in favour argue it would bring faster and cheaper access to vehicle-for-hire transporta­tion, and those opposed say companies like Uber would only create more unstable work and lower wages for drivers by flooding the market with vehicles.

Important aspects of the story are being overlooked, with major implicatio­ns for congestion, air pollution, greenhouse gas emissions and traffic deaths.

U.S. research shows that when companies like Uber and Lyft enter a market they increase vehicle miles travelled, adding 2.8 vehicle miles to the roads “for each mile of personal driving removed.” That’s because users often switch from other modes of travel like walking, cycling and public transit and they take more trips overall than they otherwise would have.

Cities like Seattle, New York and San Francisco are grappling with increased congestion from the expansion of Uber and Lyft. For example, in 2012, Seattle taxis provided 5.2 million trips, but the two ride-hailing giants are on pace to provide 31 million trips there this year.

In addition to the inconvenie­nce and economic costs of traffic congestion, increasing vehicle traffic creates more deadly air pollution and higher greenhouse gas emissions. Ride-hailing has also caused an increase of 1,100 more traffic fatalities deaths per year in the United States.

Ride-hailing tends to be dominated by one or two firms in a given market. The business models of big ride-hailing companies are premised on establishi­ng and profiting from this dominant market position, which is why venture capitalist­s have been willing to pour billions into Uber even while it operates at a loss.

Establishe­d ride-hailing companies benefit from a powerful set of advantages underpinne­d by what economists call network effects. Even if users are aware of alternativ­e upstarts, they are unlikely to use them because most drivers are on the establishe­d apps in their market. In turn, drivers have little incentive to switch to smaller apps because almost all the customers use Uber or Lyft. This is similar to the self-reinforcin­g dynamics that help keep Facebook the dominant social network.

So is this an argument for preserving B.C.’s status quo taxi industry?

Not necessaril­y.

The existing taxi industry is oligopolis­tic and does not respond well to peak demand times because of insufficie­nt taxi licences, which benefits owners of these scarce licences. The majority of B.C. taxi drivers don’t own a taxi licence but pay lease fees to owners. Typical fees for a 12-hour shift in Vancouver have been estimated at $120.

After factoring in these and other costs, local estimates put taxi wages in roughly the same range as recent estimates of Uber wages in the United States.

The endgame for Uber and Lyft, however, is to cut drivers out of the equation altogether, demonstrat­ed by their increased investment­s in selfdrivin­g-car technology.

So whether Uber extracts 25 per cent of fares or local taxi firms and licence owners extract fees, drivers get the short end of the stick.

Industries that tend toward market concentrat­ion are good candidates for alternativ­e ownership models. Rather than ownership by for-profit multinatio­nal corporatio­ns or local taxi firms, ride-hailing services could be non-profit, owned by drivers, their communitie­s or both.

Instead of revenues being siphoned off by taxi licence owners or companies like Uber, drivers and passengers could share the surplus, putting it toward higher wages and cheaper fares.

And instead of subjecting our cities to ride-hailing firms set on expansion and backed by deep-pocketed lobbying operations, a non-profit alternativ­e would be easier to regulate and contain as part of a broader transporta­tion strategy that emphasizes public transit, walking and cycling.

The idea of non-profit alternativ­es to ride-hailing is being discussed, planned and attempted in North America and Europe. But these efforts face a key barrier. The aggressive business models of the multinatio­nals crowd the ride-hailing space, leaving little room for alternativ­es to establish themselves.

The case of Austin, Texas is the exception that proves the rule. In 2016, Austin residents voted to support new regulatory standards that Uber and Lyft didn’t want to comply with. As a result, they left Austin, removing the imposing presence of Uber and Lyft, but ride-hailing was still allowed.

Within weeks, a community-minded group from the local tech sector created a non-profit alternativ­e: RideAustin. This non-profit ride-hailing app soon gained more than 50 per cent of the Austin market share. Drivers appreciate­d being paid more and treated with dignity, and passengers could round up their fares to the nearest dollar, raising money for local charities.

However, a year later there was bad news for RideAustin when the Texas state government overturned Austin’s local regulation­s. Uber and Lyft roared back into the city, their deep pockets enticing drivers and riders back with discounts, and re-establishe­d their market power. RideAustin’s market share dropped off rapidly, though the service hangs on.

RideAustin illustrate­s an important lesson for B.C. A non-profit alternativ­e to Uber and Lyft is achievable, but if given the chance, large ride-hailing companies have the resources and motivation to torpedo communityo­riented alternativ­es.

We could build a viable non-profit alternativ­e, but only if we say no to the big multinatio­nal players. The provincial government could permit ride-hailing in B.C., but only on a co-operative or non-profit basis.

The B.C. government set a range of sensible regulatory standards for the industry in its recent legislatio­n, but there was no mention of alternativ­e ownership models. Reaction has been mixed from the big industry players, with Uber Canada’s spokespers­on musing that the legislatio­n “raises another big question mark about the ability for ride-sharing to come to B.C.”

British Columbia is uniquely positioned to do things differentl­y because we haven’t yet let the ride-hailing genie out of the bottle.

Urban transporta­tion policy should focus on expanding high-quality, affordable public transit. But as long as taxis and ride-hailing are part of the mix, they should be accountabl­e to the community so that their benefits are shared and costs contained.

Ride-hailing tends to be dominated by one or two firms in a given market.

 ?? RICHARD LAM ?? Uber Canada says provincial legislatio­n raises doubts about the viability of ride-hailing in B.C., but there’s an alternativ­e to the giants of the field, argues Alex Hemingway.
RICHARD LAM Uber Canada says provincial legislatio­n raises doubts about the viability of ride-hailing in B.C., but there’s an alternativ­e to the giants of the field, argues Alex Hemingway.

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