Modern Industrial System and Sustainable Economic Development

——Based on the Moderating Role of Policy Uncertainty and Government Talent Number FAN He-jun and HE Si-jin

（College of Business Administration，Capital University of Economics and Business，Beijing 100070，China） Abstract：The development of modern industrial system is conducive to the upgrading and transformation of China's industry. The construction of modern industrial system is not only an important strategic plan for building a modern economic system，but also the key to promoting the sustainable development of China's economy. In order to explore the action mechanism of modern industrial system on realizing sustainable economic development，the authors use DEA-Malmquist to measure the green total factor productivity of different provincial regions，establish the evaluation index system to measure the development level of the modern industrial system，and empirically test the influence of modern industrial system on the sustainable economic development. It is found that，first，the development of modern industrial system can improve the level of sustainable economic development；and this conclusion is still valid after a series of robustness tests such as variable substitution，regression model change，variable lagged processing，and instrumental variable method. Second，the number of regional government talents and the uncertainty of economic policies play the moderating role between modern industrial system and the sustainable economic development，namely，lower uncertainty of economic policy and larger number of government talents will lead to the more obvious role of modern industrial systems in promoting the sustainable economic development. In order to better promote China’s economic development transformation to a high-quality one and achieve the sustainable economic development，local governments should， first，establish the high-quality modern industrial system，and strive to create a synergy mechanism between the modern industrial system and sustainable economic development；second，the local governments should establish a policy formulation and coordination mechanism among different government departments at the same level to guarantee the coordination of related policies and weaken the conflicts and contradictions of related policies；and third，local governments should pay more attention to government talents and strengthen the training of modern industrial system knowledge for relevant government talents.

Key words：modern industrial system；green total factor productivity；uncertainty of economic policy；number of govern⁃ ment talents；sustainable economic development

doi：10.14089/j.cnki.cn11-3664/f.2021.12.003

.港口—腹地供应链合作效率的影响因素[J].中国流通经济，2021（12）：28-39.引用格式：王景敏，崔利刚，隋博文