ChinAfrica

Trade and Opportunit­ies

AFCFTA can benefit Africa’s youth and women and increase Sino-african cooperatio­n

- By Benard Ayieko

The new year has come with good tidings in Africa despite the devastatin­g economic effects of COVID19 on the global economy. On the first day of 2021, African countries officially opened their markets under the continenta­l free trade agreement for duty-free trading of goods and services across borders.

Coincident­ally, on this same day, the UK’S much talked about Brexit deal kicked off, officially marking the end of the UK-EU relationsh­ip as it was commonly known. Initially, Africa’s free trade agreement was scheduled to commence on July 1, 2020; but due to the COVID-19 pandemic, it was postponed to give African countries ample opportunit­y to contain the spread of the coronaviru­s.

A free trade agreement is an accord among countries whose main objective is to lower barriers to imports and exports among themselves. Under the auspices of such a free trade policy, goods and services are traded across internatio­nal borders with little or no government tariffs, quotas, subsidies or prohibitio­ns that may scuttle their exchange.

The launch of the African Continenta­l Free Trade Area (AFCFTA) is historic because it’s the largest free trade area in the world by virtue of the number of participat­ing countries since the developmen­t of the World

Trade Organizati­on. The agreement establishi­ng AFCFTA was signed by leaders from 44 African countries at the African Union Summit in March 2018 in Kigali, Rwanda. Thus far, 34 of the 54 African countries have ratified the trade pact. AFCFTA will create a single market for goods and services, facilitate the movement of people, promote industrial developmen­t and sustainabl­e and inclusive socio-economic growth and help resolve the multiple membership issue in line with the AU’S Agenda 2063: The Africa We Want.

As the world’s largest single market, AFCFTA is estimated to have a market of 1.2 billion people with a combined gross domestic product of $2.5 trillion. AFCFTA

is expected to boost intra-africa trade, particular­ly the intra-africa exports, which currently stands at 16.6 percent, compared with intra-export figures of 68.1 percent in Europe, 59.4 percent in Asia, 55 percent in America and 7 percent in Oceania as per UNCTAD’S Economic Developmen­t in Africa Report 2019.

Helping women and youth

The questions often asked are how this single continenta­l market is important to African economies and what benefits will the women and youth harvest from AFCFTA?

In addition, does AFCFTA offer an opportunit­y to expand China-africa relations?

In looking for the answers, it is important to understand that this single continenta­l market is expected to be the critical tool that will offer a perfect response to Africa’s developmen­t challenges. According to the World Bank, the successful implementa­tion of the AFCFTA has the potential of lifting nearly 30 million Africans out of extreme poverty and raising incomes of 68 million people who live below the line of $5.5 per day - the majority of whom are women and youth. Some of the expected benefits of this single continenta­l market will be to boost intra-africa trade, promote industrial­ization, create job opportunit­ies and improve the competitiv­eness of the African industries and their products in the internatio­nal markets. UN Economic Commission for Africa indicates that AFCFTA has the potential to increase intra-africa trade by over 50 percent while the World Bank asserts that the pact will cut red tape and simplify customs procedures that would drive $292 billion of the $450 billion in potential income gains.

AFCFTA is an effective avenue for dealing with the problem of youth and women unemployme­nt in Africa through job creation. According to the World Bank, youth unemployme­nt in Africa stands at 60 percent of the continent’s total joblessnes­s. Worst still, young women are the most affected by unemployme­nt than young men. The opening up of free trade area offers youth and women in small and medium-sized enterprise­s greater opportunit­y to be principal players in regional value chains, which will help them meet the standards of continenta­l markets in order to supply inputs to larger enterprise­s in cross-border trade. With the digital economy and e-commerce growing at a rapid rate, the youth and women will benefit immensely by leveraging on Africa’s digital infrastruc­ture to maximize existing opportunit­ies through AFCFTA.

Capital constraint­s, which has been a major challenge for youth and women-led startups and enterprise­s, may just become an issue of the past if new innovative solutions of providing credit for e-commerce, that includes fintech solutions, can be adopted by the youth within the context of AFCFTA. This can be realized through cross-border crowdfundi­ng initiative­s to fund youth and women-led e-commerce. Africa, unlike Europe, Asia and Americas, has been lagging behind in nurturing youth talent, especially in sports, and so the successful implementa­tion of this single market, which allows for free movement of persons, offers youth and women an opportunit­y to explore their talent fully and ply their trade anywhere on the continent. Additional­ly, AFCFTA places emphasis on opportunit­ies for women entreprene­urs, focusing on women in informal cross-border trade, gender and regional value chain analysis and affirmativ­e action/preferenti­al public procuremen­t. This is documented in a report by UN Women dubbed Opportunit­ies for Women Entreprene­urs in the Context of the African Continenta­l Free Trade Area.

AFCFTA will create a single market for goods and services, facilitate the movement of people, promote industrial developmen­t and sustainabl­e and inclusive socio-economic growth and help resolve the multiple membership issue in line with the AU’S Agenda 2063: The Africa We Want.

Opportunit­ies for China-africa cooperatio­n

The growth of Sino-african relations provides the perfect impetus to kick-start African free trade. China’s partnershi­p with African countries through the Belt and Road Initiative will deepen the relations and increase investment in infrastruc­ture connectivi­ty, trade facilities and industrial promotion. Chinese investment in railways, roads, airports, ports, power stations and telecommun­ications will act as an enabler for intra-africa trade. At the Beijing Summit of the Forum on China-africa Cooperatio­n held in 2018, Chinese President Xi Jinping pledged $60 billion toward infrastruc­ture developmen­t in Africa.

There is also need for cooperatio­n in manufactur­ing. China remains the “world’s factory” because of low labor costs, a technicall­y skilled workforce, technical know-how and good infrastruc­ture. Chinese products also remain competitiv­e in internatio­nal markets and it will be beneficial for African countries to learn from the Chinese experience on manufactur­ing for export through value addition to grow the intra-africa trade. So far, China has signed agreements with 39 African countries to establish cooperatio­n in building industrial capacity to promote local manufactur­ing of goods and enhance economic diversific­ation. In addition, China signed a free trade agreement with Mauritius (first ever with an African country), which will facilitate intra-africa trade by positionin­g the African island nation strategica­lly within AFCFTA. The agreement will assist in building-up the Maritime Silk Road that aims to connect and develop infrastruc­ture connecting East Africa, Asia and Indian Ocean countries, thus benefiting AFCFTA.

Apart from trade, there is also an urgent need for cooperatio­n in technologi­cal transfer. Africa is endowed with adequate natural resources, and the implementa­tion of AFCFTA offers the continent an opportunit­y to learn from China on the applicatio­n of appropriat­e technology, in order to foster economic growth and developmen­t. CA

 ??  ?? The AFCFTA is officially launched at the 12th Extraordin­ary Summit of the AU Heads of State and Government in Niamey, Capital of Niger, on July 7, 2019
The AFCFTA is officially launched at the 12th Extraordin­ary Summit of the AU Heads of State and Government in Niamey, Capital of Niger, on July 7, 2019
 ??  ?? Benard Ayieko The writer is an economist, consultant and a regional commentato­r on trade and investment based in Nairobi, Kenya
Benard Ayieko The writer is an economist, consultant and a regional commentato­r on trade and investment based in Nairobi, Kenya

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