Global Times - Weekend

Despite slide, experts say it’s time for investors to ante up

Market dips 4.5 percent to hit historic low

- By Chu Daye

Investors could start considerin­g upping their ante in the Chinese A-share market even as the market closed the week down nearly 5 percent to land at a historic low, experts said on Friday.

The Chinese stock markets closed the week down 4.52 percent on Friday, with the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index down 1.34 percent to close at 2,668.97. The Shenzhen Component Index lost 1.69 percent to close at 8,357.04.

However, experts said the reform measures taken by Chinese securities regulators and the fundamenta­ls of the sound Chinese economy will provide long-term impetus for the Chinese stock markets to embark on a bull-run.

Li Daxiao, chief economist at Shenzhen-based Yingda Securities, said that the time is ripe for investors, both foreign and domestic, to buy Chinese stocks.

“Both the Chinese pension fund and foreign investors can now up their ante in the Chinese stock markets, and the pension fund may snatch cheap blue-chip shares faster than foreign investors,” Li told the Global Times on Friday.

“The positive factors are gathering their strengths,” Li noted. He explained that listed firms have shifted from selling to buying their own shares and foreign capital is increasing its bet in the Chinese market.

“The price earnings ratio for China’s blue-chip SSE50 index is now around 9.5 and for the CSI300 index it’s 11.4, and these are way below the 20 level, which is considered safe to invest in,” Li said.

Li said the drop in the week shows that investors’ confidence is not stable, and it will take some time to recover.

For the week, investors have been concerned with yuan’s depreciati­on, a currency devaluatio­n crisis in Turkey and the rising trade tensions between China and the US.

“What concerns investors are not China-US trade ties as this will only do limited damage to the Chinese economy, but the uncertaint­y that the trade friction will bring about,” said Gan Li, director of the Research Institute of Economics and Management at the Sichuan-based Southweste­rn University of Finance and Economics.

China is rolling out targeted measures to prevent further decelerati­on of economic growth, after posting a 6.8 percent GDP growth in the first half of the year, said Ning Jizhe, head of the National Bureau of Statistics, in an article published in the influentia­l People’s Daily on Friday.

Despite fluctuatio­ns in investment and consumptio­n, positive fundamenta­ls of China’s economy remain unchanged and the talk that China is declining is groundless, said Ning.

Both Li and Gan said China’s fundamenta­ls have not changed. “The past and recent released economic data have shown that China’s economic fundamenta­ls are sound,” Li said.

Gan said the Chinese stock market was moving on a sound track earlier this year before it was hit by external factors and the external factors are the main reason for the current round of weak performanc­e.

“The Chinese stock markets have been correcting insider trading and profit-seeking commentari­es by third-party observers. It has also regulated its IPO system and maintained a steady pace in rolling out IPOs with more stringent regulatory oversight,” Gan said.

On Wednesday, the China Securities Regulatory Commission detailed the practice of foreigners opening A-share accounts.

“The new measure will contribute to the developmen­t of the Chinese stock markets by grabbing more eyeballs among the circle of investors with the newly offered availabili­ty,” Gan said.

Li said some factors have added more glitter to the Chinese markets. It includes MSCI’s further inclusion of Chinese mainland stocks that will double A-share content in its emerging markets index from 2.5 to 5 percent, to take effect in September.

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