Vehicle groups warn US tariffs mean job losses
Industry says trade turmoil has paralyzed investment decisions
US automakers and parts suppliers have warned that President Donald Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs and threatened car tariffs will undermine the benefits of the new deal to modernize the North American Free Trade Agreement, causing widespread job losses.
At a wide-ranging hearing before the US International Trade Commission over the weekend, labor representatives said the new USMexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) fails to include adequate enforcement of labor standards, while fruit and vegetable growers in parts of the US said it leaves them vulnerable to subsidized Mexican competition.
The testimony will feed into a study by the commission on the economic impact of the trade deal reached on September 30, which could heavily influence support for it in the US Congress. A vote on the pact is not expected until the spring of 2019, following a lengthy consultation process.
Several automotive trade groups said side letters to the USMCA deal that allow Canada and Mexico dutyfree auto import quotas in the event that Trump imposes car tariffs was an indication that such a move seemed inevitable.
The Trump administration is considering recommendations from the US Commerce Department on whether to impose tariffs on national security grounds under Section 232 of a Cold War-era trade law.
No decisions have been made, but Trump has frequently threatened to impose 25 percent tariffs on autos and parts to pressure the EU and Japan to make trade concessions.
“If implemented, increased auto tariffs would not only undermine the potential success of the USMCA ... they would also pose a material threat to the economy and may result in the loss of as many as 700,000 jobs across the US,” said Jennifer Thomas, vice president of government affairs for the Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers.
The groups also said the failure of the USMCA to lift steel and aluminum tariffs have cost the industry billions of dollars and trade turmoil in general has paralyzed investment decisions.
“The current state of play on trade has placed our industry in turmoil,” said Ann Wilson, senior vice president of government affairs at the Motor and Equipment Manufacturers Association.
“In the last year our members have faced Section 232 steel and aluminum tariffs, other Section 232 tariffs proposed, and Section 301 tariffs on goods from China.”
US or foreign brands?
There also was a divergence of views among domestic and foreign automakers on the overall benefits of the USMCA agreement, which requires autos to have 75 percent regional content and at least 40 percent from the US or Canada.
John Bozzella, president of the Association of Global Automakers, which represents foreign brand automakers with US plants, said he was concerned that the “many layered” content requirements would hurt automakers’ competitiveness by requiring “unnecessary” supply chain shifts and investment in compliance.
Matt Blunt, president of the American Automotive Policy Council, which represents Detroit-based automakers General Motors, Ford and Fiat Chrysler, described the trade deal as “workable” for these companies, which have larger US manufacturing footprints than their competitors.
He said the deal would not require massive manufacturing and supply chain changes immediately but over time, automakers would need to consider changes in where they build cars and major components.
Labor standards
A similar divergence came from agriculture groups, where grain farmers and shippers said it was a “significant advancement” that expands market access but seasonal produce groups said it fails to address Mexican subsidies that are driving Southeastern growers out of business.
An initial US demand for the ability to impose seasonal tariffs to protect US fruit and vegetable growers was abandoned during the 13-month negotiations.
“We have gotten the short end of the stick since the ink dried on the agreement,” said Florida Agriculture Commissioner Adam Putnam.
AFL-CIO trade policy specialist Celeste Drake said that the enforcement mechanism for new, higher labor standards was weak, relying on a seldom used state-to-state dispute settlement mechanism. “We urge the commission to make clear that if the obligations are not enforced, the lure of cheap and easy labor exploitation in Mexico will continue to draw production and hold down wages in both countries,” she said.