Global Times

Trump’s candidate for Fed chairman seems temperamen­tally unsuitable for the job

- The author is Gina Chon, a Reuters Breakingvi­ews columnist. The article was first published on Reuters Breakingvi­ews. bizopinion@ globaltime­s. com. cn

Only in Trumpland can Gary Cohn be considered a suitable Federal Reserve chairman. The former Goldman Sachs president and current White House adviser has been tipped as top contender to replace Janet Yellen, Politico reported. Though not a trained economist, Cohn’s years in finance put him ahead of other Donald Trump cabinet picks notably lacking relevant résumés. But a Wall Street trader’s temperamen­t makes a bad match for the staid central- bank job.

The registered New York Democrat didn’t have a government background when he became director of the National Economic Council. Still, he had honed his finance skills during more than 25 years at Goldman and he quickly hired White House staff with complement­ary experience. His operation contrasted with those of cabinet members like Education Secretary Betsy DeVos, who struggled to answer basic questions about school curriculum­s in her confirmati­on hearing.

Choosing Cohn as head of the central bank would be an unconventi­onal pick. Over the last 40 years, Fed chairs have been economists and have also served at least two four- year terms. Yellen will have only served one if Trump does not renominate her. The last one- term, noneconomi­st Fed chair was William Miller, who had been CEO of Textron before President Jimmy Carter tapped him. Amid high inflation, his policies tanked the US dollar and he lasted just over a year.

Cohn spent much of his time at Goldman as a trader. He joined its J. Aron commoditie­s unit and became head of the divisions for fixed income, equities and global securities before becoming president. Goldman is known as the most alpha of the investment banks and the hard- charging job was suited to Cohn’s personalit­y.

Running the central bank is a more sedate affair. The staff consist of number crunchers with doctorate degrees in economics who pore over various models to analyze growth and employment. Press conference­s after meetings by the interest- rate- setting committee are carefully scripted.

Yellen, like her forebears, chooses her words carefully, knowing any hint of sur- prise can rattle markets.

Her predecesso­r, Ben Bernanke, learned that in 2013 when he said the central bank would no longer be purchasing bonds, causing US Treasury yields to surge in what became known as the “taper tantrum.” Blunt talker Cohn may find such restrictio­ns suffocatin­g. Markets will prefer a more boring choice.

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