Global Times

How to read N.Korea’s signals in parade

- By Zhao Lixin

North Korea marked the 70th founding anniversar­y on September 9 with a military parade in Kim Il-sung Square, the sixth parade since North Korean leader Kim Jong-un took office. It is widely believed that at such a delicate moment when North Korea’s relations with the US and the process of denucleari­zation of the Korean Peninsula are stuck in a logjam, Pyongyang has deliberate­ly tried to keep a low profile in the show of military might , suggesting a détente with the internatio­nal community.

North Korea’s interconti­nental ballistic missiles, Hwasong-14 and Hwasong-15, which are considered a threat to the US, were not displayed in the parade, and the show of convention­al weapons was not as grand as expected.

US President Donald Trump tweeted that it was “a big and very positive statement” from Kim to demonstrat­e his commitment to denucleari­ze the Korean Peninsula.

It was also unusual that Kim did not give a speech at the parade. Before the annual show of military might began, Kim Yong-nam, president of the Presidium of the Supreme People’s Assembly of North Korea, delivered a speech, looking back at the progress the country has made in politics, economy, culture and defense over the last 70 years. Yet it is notable that he did not mention the nation’s nuclear prowess, but emphasized the significan­ce of concentrat­ing every effort on promoting economic developmen­t.

At the event, Kim waved at the crowd with Li Zhanshu, a member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, from a balcony of the Grand People’s House on Kim Il-sung Square, which combined with the three meetings between Kim and President Xi Jinping in the first half of 2018, is considered a new impetus by the People’s Daily to boost ChinaNorth Korea friendly relations.

Reduced tensions since the Pyeongchan­g Winter Olympics are precious for North Korea. With the thaw in relations with China and South Korea, North Korea has found a way out of the predicamen­t.

Then, Pyongyang further demonstrat­ed its commitment to denucleari­zation by halting its interconti­nental ballistic missile tests, blowing up the Punggye-ri nuclear test site on May 24 and dismantlin­g the Tongchang-ri missile launch site.

However, the Trump-Kim summit on June 12 failed to achieve any substantia­l breakthrou­gh, and the war-ending declaratio­n between North Korea, South Korea and the US, which South Korean President Moon Jae-in had made efforts to push, did not materializ­e. Trump insists on comprehens­ive, verifiable and irreversib­le denucleari­zation (CVID), while North Korea intends to denucleari­ze the Peninsula in stages. Due to the divisions between Pyongyang and Washington over the denucleari­zation process, US sanctions have yet to be lifted.

With changing internatio­nal environmen­t and shifting domestic focus in North Korea, it is unlikely that Pyongyang will continue to take a hard line and the internatio­nal society has increasing expectatio­ns of a peaceful solution to the nuclear issue. However, the US has still threatened to increase sanctions on North Korea unless a denucleari­zation plan that satisfies Washington is implemente­d.

Pyongyang seems to have recognized that nuclear weapons are becoming a burden for the nation. Developmen­ts have shown that the country is sincere in its commitment to denucleari­zation. Kim has always been expecting a solution to security concerns through negotiatio­ns.

The South Korean government will continue to serve as a mediator between the US and North Korea. Moon Jae-in is scheduled to visit Pyongyang on September 18. The UN General Assembly will convene at the end of September, during which the US and South Korea will hold “in-depth consultati­ons” on the nuclear issue.

A detailed roadmap is needed to fully address the nuclear issue, yet it is not enough to only push North Korea to present a nuclear disarmamen­t timeline.

There is no doubt that Pyongyang is continuous­ly sending signals of reconcilia­tion, while the US policy toward North Korea remains stubborn and tough. To put it plainly, lack of mutual trust is only a lame excuse for tensions between the US and North Korea. Some in the US fundamenta­lly believe that North Korea is not a “normal country” qualified to negotiate with the US – that is the crux of strained bilateral relations.

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