Global Times

Hubris remains fundamenta­l reason for Lehman collapse, despite CEO’s complaints

- The author is Antony Currie, a Reuters Breakingvi­ews columnist. The article was first published on Reuters Breakingvi­ews. bizopinion@globaltime­s.com.cn

Lehman Brothers should not have failed. No, that’s not a criticism of the US government’s refusal to bail out the firm, thus condemning it to file for bankruptcy on September 15 a decade ago. Instead, it’s a recognitio­n of how Chief Executive Dick Fuld and his lieutenant­s had built a well-run investment bank – until they succumbed to hubris.

Under Fuld, Lehman navigated several crises. The Mexican peso collapse, the Asian and Russian meltdowns and the dot-com bust all hit within six years of the Wall Street firm getting spun out of American Express. Minutes after the first plane hit the World Trade Center in September 2001, executives had a team crossing the Hudson river to Lehman’s backup office. Fuld liked to tell how watching a gambler in a casino lose everything after doubling down taught him the value of caution.

He forgot it during the real-estate bubble – an asset where Lehman was a leader. That, though, bred overconfid­ence that seeped into other assets from commercial property to leveraged buyouts. In late 2006, Fuld and the gang approved raising the company’s risk limit by almost half – just as Goldman Sachs started cutting exposure. Within months Lehman had shot through that as Fuld, President Joe Gregory and investment-banking boss Skip McGee routinely waived limits on individual deals, as Anton Valukas detailed in his report on Lehman’s collapse for the bankruptcy court.

Those who spoke out against such moves, like risk chief Madelyn Antoncic and trading head Mike Gelband, were sidelined or removed. The top dogs’ response to the worsening crisis was so slow that plans to offload debt and bridge-equity stakes in problem deals like Archstone Property were in the “18th inning” in late 2007, in the words of former finance chief Erin Callan.

Rather than address the concerns she raised, Fuld and Gregory would caution her about her “provocativ­e” clothing and “interrogat­ory style.” They were similarly tin-eared when confronted by the arguments of short-sellers. All the while, executives were using an accounting trick, Repo 105, to make Lehman’s balance sheet look healthier than it was in its final few quarters. Regulators acquiesced as Lehman raised risk limits.

So was it the government’s fault too? Fuld, for one, argues that it was, also blaming regulators and even homeowners. That question now has little relevance – the rules governing banks have changed dramatical­ly since 2008. But Lehman wouldn’t have failed without hubris – and for that there’s still no cure.

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