Global Times

Dollar hegemony the Sword of Damocles hanging above the world

- By Xin Ping The author is a commentato­r on internatio­nal affairs, writing regularly for CGTN, Global Times, Xinhua News Agency, etc. He can be reached at xinping604@ gmail. com Page Editor: xiawenxin@ globaltime­s. com. cn

As the world’s most powerful country and with the support of dollar hegemony, the US frequently wields the sword of exchange rates to suppress the developmen­t of other countries and loot the wealth of the whole world. A close look at history reveals how US financial hegemony and bullying have wreaked havoc on other countries.

From the 1960s to early 1980s, Japan’s economy grew rapidly through internatio­nal trade. On the other side of the Pacific, however, the US was facing stagflatio­n, high unemployme­nt and a huge trade deficit. The rise of Japan sounded an alarm bell to the US. In 1983, the US started to pressure Japan to liberalize its financial market, urging it to relax financial regulation­s and foreign exchange controls. This ultimately increased the yen’s dependence on the dollar.

Then came the ultimate blow – the Plaza Accord of 1985, in which the US forced the appreciati­on of the yen and the depreciati­on of the dollar. Between 1985 and 1988, the yen doubled against the dollar. As the rapid appreciati­on of the yen eroded Japan’s export competitiv­eness, Japan’s central bank decided to attract foreign capital with low interest rates. As a result, investment costs plummeted, causing asset inflation and serious economic bubbles. The burst of the bubbles ushered in Japan’s “lost decades.” Japan’s growth rate nosedived and even went negative.

The US sword of exchange rate was not just held against Japan’s throat. Thailand also suffered from the damage that the US blade of greed can do to a sovereign country. Given the US dollar’s dominance in internatio­nal trade settlement­s, the Thai currency, the baht, was essentiall­y pegged to the dollar.

In early 1997, George Soros and a few other mega investors began to short the baht by borrowing and selling it in dollars on the foreign exchange market. In order to stabilize the exchange rate, the Thai government had to use its foreign exchange reserves to buy in baht. Within a couple of months, Thailand’s foreign exchange reserves lost $ 30 billion, and the foreign exchange pool almost dried up. The drop quickly spread to wider regions of Asia, including the Philippine­s, Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia. The bearish hurricane that swept across the region wiped out billions of dollars, looting the wealth that local people had been saving up for decades.

Equating autonomy with betrayal, the US did not hesitate to thrust the sword of exchange rate into even its close allies. The UK learned this the hard way. Even its special relationsh­ip with the US could not protect it from the US manipulati­on of foreign exchange rates. In 1979, European countries establishe­d the European Exchange Rate Mechanism ( ERM), pegging European currencies to the Deutsche Mark. While the ERM establishe­d a unified European currency market, it also moved the cheese of the US by weakening the position of the US dollar. Feeling threatened, the US took advantage of the monetary policy contradict­ions between the UK and Germany to force the UK to withdraw from the ERM.

In July 1992, US capital began to short the British pound aggressive­ly, compounded by panic spin in the media. On September 16, 1992, also known as the Black Wednesday, the exchange rate of the British pound fell below the lower limit set by the ERM. The British government had used

$ 26.9 billion worth of foreign exchange reserves, but was finally forced to announce its withdrawal from the ERM. Within a few days, the pound depreciate­d by 16 percent against the mark and 26 percent against the dollar. As one of the most important economies in Europe, the UK could not join the ERM. Without the strong support of the UK, the euro could hardly threaten the dominance of the US dollar.

Upon close scrutiny, the US has been brandishin­g the sword of exchange rate. This Sword of Damocles is hanging above the entire world. As long as dollar hegemony still exists, the global economy is subject to US arbitrarin­ess driven by jealousy, greed and selfishnes­s.

 ?? Illustrati­on: Chen Xia/ Global Times ??
Illustrati­on: Chen Xia/ Global Times
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