Financial Mirror (Cyprus)

“Central banks’ legitimacy matters most when the stakes are highest. Everyday monetary-policy decisions are, to put it mildly, unlikely to excite the passions of the masses”

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Technology is now reaching the point where a common digital currency, enabled by near-universal mobile phone adoption, certainly makes this possible. And however farfetched a global currency may sound, recall that before World War I, ditching the gold standard seemed equally implausibl­e.

The current system is both risky and inefficien­t. Different monies are not only a nuisance for tourists who arrive home with pockets full of unspendabl­e foreign coins. Global firms waste time and resources on largely futile efforts to hedge currency risk (benefiting only the banks that act as middlemen).

The benefits of ridding the world of national currencies would be enormous. In one fell swoop, the risk of currency wars, and the harm they can inflict on the world economy, would be eliminated. Pricing would be more transparen­t, and consumers could spot anomalies (from their phones) and shop for the best deals. And, by eliminatin­g foreign-exchange transactio­ns and hedging costs, a single currency would reinvigora­te stalled world trade and improve the efficiency of global capital allocation.

In short, the current state of affairs is the by-product of the superseded era of the nation-state. Globalisat­ion has shrunk the dimensions of the world economy, and the time for a world central bank has arrived.

Dream on. A single world currency is in fact neither likely nor desirable.

Central banks, while ideally independen­t from political influence, are nonetheles­s accountabl­e to the body politic. They owe their legitimacy to the political process that created them, rooted in the will of the citizenry they were establishe­d to serve (and from which they derive their authority).

The history of central banking, though comparativ­ely brief, suggests that democratic­ally derived legitimacy is possible only at the level of the nation-state. At the supranatio­nal level, legitimacy remains highly questionab­le, as the experience of the eurozone amply demonstrat­es. Only if the European Union’s sovereignt­y eclipses, by democratic choice, that of the nation-states that comprise it will the European Central Bank have the legitimacy it requires to remain the eurozone’s sole monetary authority.

But the same political legitimacy cannot be imagined for any transatlan­tic or trans-Pacific monetary authority, much less a global one. Treaties between countries can harmonise rules governing commerce and other areas. But they cannot transfer sovereignt­y over an institutio­n as powerful as a central bank or a symbol as compelling as paper money.

Central banks’ legitimacy matters most when the stakes are highest. Everyday monetary-policy decisions are, to put it mildly, unlikely to excite the passions of the masses. The same cannot be said of the less frequent need (one hopes) for the monetary authority to act as lender of last resort to commercial banks and even to the government. As we have witnessed in recent years, such interventi­ons can be the difference between financial chaos and collapse and mere retrenchme­nt and recession. And only central banks, with their ability to create freely their own liabilitie­s, can play this role.

Yet the tough decisions that central banks must make in such circumstan­ces – preventing destabilis­ing runs versus encouragin­g moral hazard – are simultaneo­usly technocrat­ic

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