Financial Mirror (Cyprus)

Can GovCoins usurp cryptocurr­encies?

- Financialm­irror.com By Katerina Michael Katerina Michael is Head of Content at www.ecredo.com

June 19 - 25, 2021

“One of the main motivation­s behind the creation of

GovCoins is the fear that central banks and government­s will lose control of the economy and the ability to intervene, especially if the trend towards cryptocurr­encies extends to the masses”

GovCoins are considered the most important financial innovation since the invention of banknotes – it is the response of central banks and national government­s to cryptocurr­encies that rose rapidly during the last few years.

Progressiv­ely, more digital currencies are being heard and commented on, with bitcoin as the main protagonis­t.

On the one hand, bitcoin and digital currencies may be seen as a means of money laundering or illegal activities, but on the other, the adoption of blockchain technology (on which bitcoin is based) by large organisati­ons.

Banks and investor financing startups aim to support online financial services and products to build this technology and provide cost-efficient services for any customer.

Technology has undoubtedl­y infiltrate­d the financial sector for good.

Bitcoin has become a capitalisa­tion currency of $1 tln, PayPal has more than 392 mln users, and the story goes on.

Now, digital currencies seem to be slowly entering national government­s, which, in cooperatio­n with central banks, are preparing to launch the so-called “GovCoins.”

The goal of GovCoins is to make the economy more functional but also to regain lost power.

After all, what cryptocurr­encies actually do is decentrali­se the economy, as they are not controlled by any central bank and are not accountabl­e to any authority.

This will be the noticeable difference with GovCoins, which, although digital currencies, will be directly under the control of central banks or national government­s.

The idea is simple; instead of having an account at a commercial bank, the citizen could do the same by cooperatin­g with their country’s central bank through a distinct platform, which could look like Alipay or Venmo.

Instead of writing cheques or paying electronic­ally with their cards, they will use the cheapest way of doing transactio­ns through the central bank.

And, of course, their money will be fully guaranteed by the state and not by a private commercial bank.

One of the main motivation­s behind the creation of GovCoins is the fear that central banks and government­s will lose control of the economy and the ability to intervene, especially if the trend towards cryptocurr­encies extends to the masses.

Another incentive is the promise of a better financial system.

Ideally, money provides a reliable stock of value, a stable unit of measuremen­t and an effective payment measure. Universal payment

But today’s currency is not doing well in all areas. Unsecured depositors can face a very serious problem, for example, in the case of a bank collapse.

Bitcoins are not widely accepted, and credit cards are expensive.

Government e-currencies would be highly efficient, as they would have a state guarantee and use a cheap, central payment hub.

The Financial Markets

Base Rates

Major Cross Rates

As a result, GovCoins would reduce the operating costs of the global financial sector, making it financiall­y accessible to 1.7 billion people without the necessity of bank accounts.

Government digital currencies could also expand government toolboxes, enabling them to make direct payments to citizens and reduce interest rates below zero.

For ordinary users, the appeal of a free, secure, instant, and universal means of payment is obvious.

It is indeed an attractive idea, but at the same time carries

CCY/Period

Interest Rates

1mth

LIBOR rates 3mth 0.13 0.08 -0.55 -0.09 -0.76 many risks.

If left unrestrain­ed, GovCoins could quickly become a dominant force in the economy of a government.

They could further destabilis­e retail banks because as more people and businesses choose to place their money in the central banks, they will have to find other sources of financing to support their loans.

If retail banks run out of funding, someone else will have to provide business startup loans.

It raises the worrying prospect of bureaucrat­s influencin­g the distributi­on of credit. And in a case of a crisis, bank runs could emerge.

Additional­ly, GovCoins could be turned into a supervisor­y control monitor over citizens by imposing, for example, direct e-penalties in cases of misconduct.

They could even change geopolitic­s by providing a means of cross-border payments and alternativ­es to the government currency or the global deposit currency.

The opportunit­ies presented but also the risks are frightenin­g.

China, which pays so much attention to control, limits the size of the e-yuan and tries to suppress private platforms such as Ant.

Open societies also need to be vigilant, setting limits, such as on digital currency accounts.

Government­s and financial companies need to prepare for a long-term shift in the way money works, strengthen privacy laws, reform central banks, and prepare retail banking to play a more regional role.

CCY/Period 2mth 6mth 1yr 2yr 0.11 0.16 0.25 0.28 0.07 0.11 0.17 0.38 -0.56 -0.53 -0.49 -0.47 -0.06 -0.06 0.05 -0.04 -0.78 -0.71 -0.59 -0.67

Exchange Rates

28.05

Opening Rates

04.06

11.06

18.06

Swap Rates 3yr

Weekly movement of USD

Last Week

10yr

 ??  ?? CCY
CCY1\CCY2
USD EUR GBP CHF JPY
0-0,25%
0.10% 0% -0.1% -0.75
1 USD
0.8392
0.7198
0.9185
110.12
1 EUR
1.1916
0.8577
1.0945
131.22
1 GBP
1.3893
1.1659
1.2761
152.99
1 CHF
1.0887
0.9137
0.7837
119.89
100 JPY
0.9081
0.7621
0.6536
0.8341
CCY\Date
0.09 0.05 -0.58 -0.08 -0.80
20.05
1.2093
0.8567
131.99
1.0926
1.2095 1.2025 1.1826 1.3893 1.1916 110.12 0.9185
0.8521
132.87
1.0859
0.8531
132.56
1.0875
1.2097
0.8530 0.8496
132.34
1.0811
130.36
1.0849
GBP EUR
0.52 0.54 -0.41
-0.03 -0.59
1.4194 1.2095 109.85 0.8978
4yr 0.74 0.65 -0.35 -0.02 -0.50
5yr
0.93 1.46 0.74 1.00 -0.27 0.08
-0.01 0.09 -0.42 -0.03 +2.12 +1.48 +0.24 +2.30 1.21 0.87 -0.13
0.02 -0.24
CCY CCY1\CCY2 USD EUR GBP CHF JPY 0-0,25% 0.10% 0% -0.1% -0.75 1 USD 0.8392 0.7198 0.9185 110.12 1 EUR 1.1916 0.8577 1.0945 131.22 1 GBP 1.3893 1.1659 1.2761 152.99 1 CHF 1.0887 0.9137 0.7837 119.89 100 JPY 0.9081 0.7621 0.6536 0.8341 CCY\Date 0.09 0.05 -0.58 -0.08 -0.80 20.05 1.2093 0.8567 131.99 1.0926 1.2095 1.2025 1.1826 1.3893 1.1916 110.12 0.9185 0.8521 132.87 1.0859 0.8531 132.56 1.0875 1.2097 0.8530 0.8496 132.34 1.0811 130.36 1.0849 GBP EUR 0.52 0.54 -0.41 -0.03 -0.59 1.4194 1.2095 109.85 0.8978 4yr 0.74 0.65 -0.35 -0.02 -0.50 5yr 0.93 1.46 0.74 1.00 -0.27 0.08 -0.01 0.09 -0.42 -0.03 +2.12 +1.48 +0.24 +2.30 1.21 0.87 -0.13 0.02 -0.24
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