Eswatini Sunday

Ukraine Russia war: US Congress close to passing long-awaited aid

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After months of delay, the House of Representa­tives is due to vote on tens of billions of dollars in US military aid for Ukraine and Israel.

Both measures have vocal opponents in Congress, and their hopes of passage have hinged on a fragile bipartisan coalition to overcome legislativ­e hurdles.

A procedural vote on Thursday gave a strong indication the votes will pass.

Debate is set to begin and voting is expected later on Saturday.

House Speaker Mike Johnson says he wants to push the measures through, even if it jeopardise­s his position.

The Ukraine vote will be closely watched in Kyiv, which has warned of an urgent need for fresh support from its allies as Russia makes steady gains on the battlefiel­d.

If the House passes the bills, the Senate may approve the package as soon as this weekend. President Joe Biden has pledged to sign it into law.

What’s in the aid bills?

Mr Johnson’s foreign aid proposal provides $60.8bn (£49bn) to Ukraine, $26.4bn to Israel and $8.1bn to the IndoPacifi­c region, including Taiwan. The House of Representa­tives will vote on each component individual­ly, raising the possibilit­y that some components will be approved and others will fail.

The Speaker is also bringing a fourth piece of legislatio­n to a vote, which includes requiring that Chinese company Bytedance divest itself of the Tiktok social media app, authorisin­g the sale of frozen Russian assets, and imposing new sanctions on Russia, Iran and China.

Whatever passes will be combined into one bill that will then have to be approved as a whole by the Senate before it reaches the president’s desk.

Mr Johnson has also promised to introduce an immigratio­n reform bill that contains provisions favoured by conservati­ve Republican­s in an attempt to win over their support for the aid package.

But the border bill looks unlikely to pass as it would require the support of twothirds of the House, as it is being submitted under a separate process.

Opinion polls suggest that a growing number of Republican­s oppose any new aid to Ukraine. Some liberals are against military support for Israel. While these sentiments were not enough to prevent the US Senate from passing legislatio­n that contained support for both nations in February, it has been a different story in the House.

Mr Johnson has a slim majority in the chamber, and a handful of conservati­ves have threatened to push for his removal if he backs new Ukraine aid. The effort, led by Georgia congresswo­man Marjorie Taylor Greene, has two other supporters so far: Thomas Massie of Kentucky and Paul Gosar of Arizona.

Up until now, the Speaker has been reluctant to challenge his right-wing critics. On Wednesday, however, he reversed course, saying his goal was to “do the right thing and let the chips fall where they may”.

Meanwhile, left-wing Democrats who object to Israel’s conduct of the war in Gaza have said that they will not allow the US to continue to be complicit in a human-rights catastroph­e. The Israel aid bill contains $9bn in humanitari­an aid, which may help win over some reluctant Democrats.

By allowing separate votes on Israel and Ukraine aid, Mr Johnson hopes to allow individual legislator­s to vote against provisions they dislike without sinking the entire effort.

Biden administra­tion officials have warned that the situation in Ukraine is dire. The nation’s military is running short on munitions and morale is low, as the Russian army gains ground.

“There is a very real risk that the Ukrainians could lose on the battlefiel­d by the end of 2024, or at least put [Russian President Vladimir] Putin in a position where he could essentiall­y dictate the terms of a political settlement,” CIA Director William Burns said during a speech in Texas on Thursday. (BBC News)

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Ukrainian anti-aircraft gunners near Bakhmut.
▴ Ukrainian anti-aircraft gunners near Bakhmut.

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