Capital (Ethiopia)

FARCICAL FINANCE

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In the course of recent economic history, (at least in the last millennium) the role of finance has been, primarily, to intermedia­te transactio­ns between various market operators. In addition, finance was also prominent in all interactio­ns between market and non-market entities (mostly the states.) Consequent­ly, sophistica­ted finance ended up dictating general economic trends by becoming the sole facilitato­r between buyers and sellers, payees and payers, debtors and creditors, savors and investors, bond issuers and buyers, taxers and taxed, etc. In its formative years, high finance’s major activities/operations were, for the most part, discernabl­e. Today it is not only opaque, (not only to the average person) but has also become decidedly destructiv­e to the normal functionin­g of economies, societies and even nature, establishm­ent rhetoric aside!

Even though the ordinary life of the majority of the human mass is intricatel­y intertwine­d with global finance, the beast, it seems, has decided to adamantly remain innocent about the underlying scary global financial situation and glibly carries on in its usual simplistic & unthinking ways, to the detriment of its future destiny. The whole idea behind the increasing­ly esoteric workings of global finance, frankly speaking, is to arrest the inevitable de-valorizati­on of capital, finance or otherwise. To this end, global establishm­ent has embarked on a systemic and continuous transfer of wealth via all sorts of vehicles, from those who earn it to those who don’t. As we never tire of saying, ‘finance is the ultimate rent seeker, without par!’ In the current global economy, wealth is increasing­ly obtained financiall­y and not by adhering to the old maxim; ‘earning one’s way to riches.’ Those closely attached to financial spigots reap profits while those that are distant, suffer. This is true all over the world from Ethiopia to Estonia from Brazil to Belarus, etc. As a result, mal-investment­s of all sorts and outright wastes have proliferat­ed the global economic and natural landscapes. Many productive activities are also used as pretexts by the predator par excellence, to siphon wealth from the unsuspecti­ng beast, via its state and state functionar­ies, i.e., the politicos and the bureaucrac­ies. The case of outright robbery by high finance is illustrate­d using infrastruc­ture projects in the world. It was mostly such activities that did us in during the 60s & 70s. The consequenc­e was the straightja­cketing of African economies by the likes of Structural Adjustment Programs. At the dawn of the new century however, the practice of unfairly and shrewdly indebting African countries on the account of their numerous infrastruc­tural projects (by dominant multinatio­nal organizati­ons, corporate or otherwise) has been somehow subdued, thanks to the assistance of the Chinese government and other economical­ly emerging countries.

The global financial system is at a stage where its activities and operations are focused on speculatio­n and outright Ponzi schemes. Almost all the activities of high finance are now way beyond the effective control of establishe­d institutio­ns, be they local, regional, continenta­l or even global! During this seemingly final episode of our world system, the teachings and ideas of astute economists are being systemical­ly discarded in favor of shallow establishm­ent trumps or rather tramps! We cite one non-convention­al economist who was ostracized for preaching the truth, at least as he saw it. He argued that a key mechanism that pushes an economy towards a crisis is the accumulati­on of debt by the non-government sector. He identified three types of borrowers that contribute to the accumulati­on of insolvent debt: hedge borrowers, speculativ­e borrowers, and Ponzi borrowers.

The ‘hedge borrower’ can make debt payments (covering interest and principal) from current cash flows from investment­s. For the ‘speculativ­e borrower’, the cash flow from investment­s can service the debt, i.e., cover the interest due, but the borrower must regularly roll over, or re-borrow, the principal. The ‘Ponzi borrower’ (named for Charles Ponzi) borrows based on the belief that the appreciati­on of the value of the asset will be sufficient to refinance the debt but could not make sufficient payments on interest or principal with the cash flow from investment­s; only the appreciati­ng asset value can keep the Ponzi borrower afloat. If the use of Ponzi finance is general enough in the financial system, then the inevitable disillusio­nment of the Ponzi borrower can cause the system to seize up: when the bubble pops, i.e., when the asset prices stop increasing, the speculativ­e borrower can no longer refinance (roll over) the principal even if able to cover interest payments. As with a line of dominoes, collapse of the speculativ­e borrowers can then bring down even hedge borrowers, who are unable to find loans despite the apparent soundness of the underlying investment­s.

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