Im­pact of by-polls on BJP

Alive - - Letters -

The anatomy of the out­come of the lately held by­polls in the coun­try has set to teach lessons for both the op­po­si­tion and the BJP. An in­tro­spec­tion of the by-poll re­sults show­cases why losses of BJP could end up help­ing Modi to the ut­most de­gree of rea­son­ing. It was BJP’s los­ing streak in by­elec­tions. It is an in­ter­est­ing para­dox be­cause while BJP is at the pin­na­cle of its prow­ess and strength, it also had to face a sur­pris­ingly vul­ner­a­ble set­back un­der­belly.

At this junc­ture, we can say that by-polls can hardly work as a barom­e­ter for as­sess­ing the elec­tion trends of the up­com­ing As­sem­bly and Lok-Sabha elec­tions. There is even a sup­port to this view from few po­lit­i­cal sci­en­tists. By­polls do hold sev­eral lessons that the BJP and the op­po­si­tion par­ties would do well to con­sider. Keep­ing these lessons in mind, it is possi-

ble to sug­gest two hy­pothe­ses. These are but mere as­sump­tions based on past and cur­rent po­lit­i­cal trends.

The first hy­poth­e­sis sug­gest­ing that the op­po­si­tion has worked out a for­mula to chal­lenge the BJP jug­ger­naut which is a force to reckon with is ob­vi­ous. The early shoots of this strat­egy were vis­i­ble dur­ing the Phulpur and Go­rakh­pur by­elec­tions. It was strength­ened dur­ing the post poll al­liance that de­nied BJP power in Kar­nataka. In Noor­pur and Kairana, the by-elec­tion strat­egy has been so de­signed that the caste and com­mu­nity arith­metic was care­fully ham­mered out.

In Ut­tar Pradesh’s Kairana, for ex­am­ple, which the BJP took as a pres­tige fight and ran an in­tense cam­paign led by Chief Min­is­ter, Yogi Adityanath, the SP fielded a Mus­lim can­di­date whose fam­ily wields enor­mous clout in the con­stituency, in or­der to rep­re­sent the Jat based party of RLD.

This kind of strat­egy em­ployed by the Sa­ma­jwadi Party (SP) was aimed at re­new­ing the Jat-Mus­lim con­sol­i­da­tion, a fac­tor be­hind suc­cess of RLD in western Ut­tar Pradesh since a long time. This strat­egy of SP had led to the suc­cess of RLD can­di­date in Kairana by de­feat­ing the BJP can­di­date de­spite the party’s in­tense cam­paign. De­spite this be­ing a most pres­ti­gious elec­tion is­sue in UP, the BJP had to swal­low a bit­ter pill fol­low­ing the set­back prompt­ing a feather in the Op­po­si­tion’s cap.

— Bh. Indu Sekhar

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