94 PER CENT OF DEMONETISED CURRENCY BACK IN BANKS

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has likely received ~14.5 lakh crore of the old ~500 and ~1,000 notes as on December 30,

Business Standard has learnt. This is around 94 per cent of the ~15.44 lakh crore put out of circulation on November 8. Any eventual onetime windfall gain accrued to the central bank will be closer to ~90,000 crore as on date, much less than the RBI and the Centre’s initial estimates of as much as ~3 lakh crore. December 30 was the last date for depositing old notes in banks.

These are initial estimates contingent upon two factors. First, Indians who were abroad between November 9 and December 30, and Indian citizens settled abroad have time to deposit the banned notes till March 31 and June 30, respectively. Second, with the government having raised the issue of ‘double counting’, the central bank will have to recheck data. On November 8, PM Modi’s announcement had, in one fell swoop, demonetised ~15.4 lakh crore worth of notes. The RBI states that as on December 10, ~12.44 lakh crore in old notes has been deposited/exchanged. Central officials have stated the figures are being collated and will be made public when the RBI is ready.

Any eventual one-time windfall gain accrued to the central bank will be closer to ~90,000 cr as on date, much less than the RBI and the Centre’s initial estimates

On Wednesday, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley was vague when asked on the same at a press briefing after the goods and services tax council meeting.

Last month, Economic Affairs Secretary Shaktikanta Das had said the finance ministry feels there may have been cases of double counting in the RBI’s figures announced on December 10. “We have requested the RBI and banks to double check. A process of correction, checking, counter-checking and due diligence is being done to see there is no double counting,” Das had said.