Business Standard

TCS Q1 net down 5.8%, misses estimates

Stronger rupee, wage hikes squeeze margin

- ROMITA MAJUMDAR & AYAN PRAMANIK

Tata Consultanc­y Services (TCS) saw its first quarter profit drop 5.8 per cent to ~5,950 crore due to currency fluctuatio­ns and wage hikes as the banking and financial services and retail businesses slowed.

Revenue grew 1 per cent to ~29,584 crore in the quarter to June on the back of volume growth of 3.5 per cent, the highest in four quarters.

TCS had reported profit of ~6,318 crore on revenue of ~29,305 crore in the April to June period a year ago.

A Bloomberg consensus estimate had pegged revenue at ~29,570 crore and net profit at ~6,201 crore.

The growth was offset by 1.5 per cent due to ~650 crore losses in currency fluctuatio­ns during the quarter.

The rupee appreciate­d nearly 3 per cent against the dollar between April and June. The company also saw wage hikes squeezing the operating margin, which stood at 23.4 per cent.

TCS had maintained that it would have an operating margin between 26 per cent and 28 per cent.

In the same period last year, the operating margin, calculated as sales minus expenses, stood at 25.1 per cent.

“The revenue is largely in line with my expectatio­n. Margin is slightly lower. But the main concern is the core geographie­s and verticals are continuing to lag,” said Apurva Prasad, analyst at brokerage HDFC Securities.

However, TCS said the demand environmen­t was positive and it was witnessing growth in developed markets, where the majority of its customers were on annuity.

“In BFSI, we are seeing very strong demand from bottom of the pyramid. We stay optimistic as the pipeline is strong. The growth in our account base of the bottom of the pyramid is strong,” said Rajesh Gopinathan, chief executive officer and managing director of TCS. “Retail is structural­ly stressed. We are participat­ing in clients’ investment­s in technology. You should expect volatility,” he added.

TCS’ business in North America, its largest market, grew by 1.7 per cent, while the Europe business grew by 5.6 per cent.

“We see a combinatio­n of demand for smaller projects and large transforma­tional deals in insurance. If these materialis­e we should see a definitive change in the overall environmen­t. Most of our large clients have joined on a twin agenda of changing their technology portfolio and increasing efficiency in their operations,” Gopinathan said.

TCS is the first large Indian informatio­n technology services company to announce its results. On Friday, rival Infosys is set to announce its numbers, providing an indication of growth from its investment­s in newer business such as artificial intelligen­ce and digital technology. Wipro is set to announce its results on July 20.

For TCS, the digital business contribute­d 18.9 per cent of its revenue, growing 7.6 per cent over the previous quarter and 26 per cent over the first quarter of the previous year. The company also had seven new customers for its Ignio artificial intelligen­ce platform, taking the overall customers to 30. It has trained over 215,000 people in digital skills, which it expects to fuel growth in digital projects.

“When your first quarter execution is at 2 per cent constant currency growth, there is no reason to believe that you will have accelerati­on later because macroecono­mic factors will play out. Because of tailwinds and rupee appreciati­on, they might be able to do 7.5 per cent rupee growth, constant currency growth will still be lower,” said Madhu Babu, analyst for brokerage Prabhudas Lilladher.

“A 26-28 per cent margin is difficult to retain, if it is 23.4 per cent in Q1, they need to pull very hard in Q2, It is a matter of time, gradually they will cut the margin... 25 per cent is a decent margin for a company as big as TCS,” said Babu. Some analysts as those at Emkay have already cut their FY18 and 19 EPS estimates by 3 per cent and 4 per cent to factor in lower profitabil­ity. TCS said the company would not forecast revenue or margins, but maintained that it was seeing a good demand environmen­t for projects. The company also clubbed the rest of the world, including India, into a category called regional markets, where business is based on projects.

“America, the UK and Australia are more annuitydri­ven markets so we have clubbed them together, which is about 85 per cent of our business. The project-centric markets like India, Diligenta, Middle East and Japan have been clubbed together into regional markets. These are volatile by nature. This clubbing helps to differenti­ate the volatility,” said Gopinathan.

TCS had lower IT services attrition at 11.6 per cent after April’s wage hikes, while it made a gross hiring of 11,200 people during the quarter. Hiring, including trainees, is on in the US.

TCS is setting up a new facility with 25,000 seats in Thane to consolidat­e its 20 offices in Mumbai. It is shutting down its Lucknow facility and is consolidat­ing in Noida.

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