Business Standard

Bitcoin rise sparks crypto-bubble fear MAJOR CRYPTOCURR­ENCIES

- JEMIMA KELLY REUTERS

Bitcoin and other “cryptocurr­encies” are big money, virtually as big as Goldman Sachs and Royal Bank of Scotland combined. The price of a single bitcoin hit an all-time high of above $3,500 this week, dragging up the value of hundreds of newer, smaller digital rivals in its wake. Now some investors fear a giant crypto-bubble may be about to burst.

It has been a year of unpreceden­ted growth for the largely unregulate­d market, with dozens of new currencies appearing every month in initial coin offerings (ICOs). They have achieved value almost instantly, drawing in those who are eager to get in and make a quick buck.

At the start of 2017, the total value — or market cap — of all cryptocurr­encies in existence was about $17.5 billion, with bitcoin making up almost 90 per cent of that, according to industry data firm CoinMarket­Cap.

It is now around $120 billion — around the same value as Goldman and RBS together — and bitcoin makes up only 46 per cent.

Bitcoin Cash, a clone of bitcoin that was split off from the original last week by a rival group of developers, was valued Cryptocurr­encies with market capitalisa­tion of larger than $1 billion

M-cap ($ bn)

at more than $12 billion less than 24 hours after it had started trading.

“It's just created new value out of nowhere,” said Rob Moffat, a partner at Balderton Capital, a London-based venture capital firm who focuses on fintech. “There are no fundamenta­ls behind any of this — it’s all based on public perception, so you can start to see some really strange phenomena.”

Cryptocurr­encies, so-called because cryptograp­hy is used to keep transactio­ns secure, allow anonymous peer-to-peer transactio­ns between individual users, without the need for banks or central banks. They use blockchain technology, a shared record-keeping and processing system that means digital money cannot be copied and spent more than once.

Billionair­e US investor Howard Marks likens the market to the dotcom bubble of the turn of the century — whose demise he predicted. He said in a recent investor letter that digital currencies were an “unfounded fad ... based on a willingnes­s to ascribe value to something that has little or none beyond what people will pay for it”.

But advocates of cryptocurr­encies say 2017 is just the beginning of bull run. They argue the finite nature of these currency units - there will never be more than 21 million bitcoin, for example - as well as the technologi­cal innovation that underpins them will ensure their enduring value.

“The idea of this thing being a bubble is silly. We're in the bottom of the first innings,” said Miguel Vias of Ripple, the thirdbigge­st cryptocurr­ency, who was previously global head of precious metals and metal options at CME Group.

Whichever way cryptocurr­encies move, they are likely to move together because their values are highly correlated, feeding off each other and magnifying the market effect.

That's partly down to investor sentiment, but also because the start-ups issuing new coins in ICOs generally collect money in a more liquid cryptocurr­ency, such as bitcoin or, more commonly, Ethereum's ether - the secondbigg­est cryptocurr­ency in total value.

That has driven demand for ether, which has climbed over 3,000 percent so far this year and now has a market cap of around $28 billion.

Bitcoin, which was launched in 2009, was the first successful cryptocurr­ency and is still easily the biggest, with a market cap of over $54 billion.

 ??  ??

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from India