Business Standard

PSBs MAY FACE ~40,000-CRORE LOSS DUE TO BAD LOANS

Write-offs by commercial banks reach ~65,800 crore in first half of FY18

- ABHIJIT LELE

Commercial banks wrote off about ~35,000 crore of bad loans in JulySeptem­ber, taking write-offs to ~65,800 crore in the first half of the financial year.

Credit costs — the amount set aside for bad loans and stressed assets — for ageing non-performing assets (NPAs) and National Company Law Tribunal cases would take provision coverage ratio to 58-60 per cent by the end of FY18, from 44.3 per cent at the end of March 2017, according to rating agency ICRA.

Banks’ credit provisions surged to ~64,500 crore during Q2 FY18, up 40 per cent on a sequential basis and 30 per cent on a year-onyear basis. For April-September FY18, the total credit provisions were up 17 per cent on a year-on-year basis at ~1.1 lakh crore.

“The total exposure of ~3 lakh crore of accounts is likely to be resolved under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC). And the overall credit provisions are likely to be at ~2.4-2.6 lakh crore (including impact of ageing on existing NPAs and provisioni­ng on IBC accounts) for FY18, against ~2 lakh crore during FY17,” ICRA said. Out of this, requiremen­t provisions of NCLT cases on lists 1 and 2 (see chart) are ~45,00060,000 crore in the second half of the current financial year. Most of the burden would fall on public sector banks (PSBs). This can result in losses before taxes of ~30,000-40,000 crore for PSBs during FY18.

Fresh slippages during Q2 FY18 stood at 3.9 per cent (annualised), the lowest since the beginning of the asset quality review initiated by the Reserve Bank of India during Q3 FY16. More than 80 per cent of the slippages during the quarter were outside the standard restructur­ed advances. The slippages ratio was 6.3 per cent (annualised) during Q1 FY18 and 5.5 per cent for FY 17. I CR A said the asset quality pain was likely to continue in the near term with ~1.7 lakh crore of standard restructur­ed advances.

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