Mon­soon starts with­draw­ing, rain 9% be­low nor­mal

Met dept says dis­tri­bu­tion of rain­fall was good

Business Standard - - FRONT PAGE - SANJEEB MUKHERJEE

The south­west mon­soon has started with­draw­ing from west Ra­jasthan and the Kutch re­gion of Gu­jarat, the In­dia Me­te­o­ro­log­i­cal De­part­ment (IMD) said on Satur­day, mark­ing the end of its four­month jour­ney over In­dia.

The sea­son is ex­pected to end with a cu­mu­la­tive rain­fall de­fi­ciency of 9 per cent. This means the coun­try reg­is­tered be­lownor­mal rain­fall in 2018, con­trary to the IMD’s fore­cast of nor­mal rain. Twelve of the 36 me­te­o­ro­log­i­cal sub­di­vi­sions recorded de­fi­cient rain­fall, while the rest wit­nessed nor­mal to ex­cess rain. In to­tal, 38 per cent of the 662 dis­tricts re­ceived be­low-nor­mal rain.

“In view of anti-cy­clone es­tab­lished over Ra­jasthan and ad­join­ing ar­eas in the lower tro­po­spheric lev­els, along with sub­stan­tial re­duc­tion in mois­ture con­tent over Ra­jasthan and ad­join­ing ar­eas, and dry weather con­di­tions over most parts of west Ra­jasthan and Kutch, the south­west mon­soon has with­drawn from some parts of Ra­jasthan, Kutch and north Ara­bian Sea, to­day (Satur­day),” the met de­part­ment said.

The mon­soon, it said, would with­draw from the re­main­ing parts of Ra­jasthan, some parts of Pun­jab, Haryana (in­clud­ing Delhi), Ut­tar Pradesh, Mad­hya Pradesh and some more parts of Gu­jarat and the north Ara­bian Sea dur­ing the next 2-3 days.

The mon­soon usu­ally starts with­draw­ing from Septem­ber 1, but this year it has been de­layed by al­most a month.

Though the cu­mu­la­tive mon­soon rain­fall was al­most 9 per cent less than nor­mal this year, the worst since 2015, Met de­part­ment of­fi­cials said the time­line and dis­tri­bu­tion of

rain was good, which pre­vented any ma­jor let-down in sow­ing.

How­ever, sev­eral dis­tricts in Kar­nataka and Andhra Pradesh are fac­ing drought and if it doesn't rain prop­erly in the win­ter, there could be se­vere wa­ter scarcity.

The over­all food­grain pro­duc­tion this kharif sea­son is es­ti­mated at a record 141 mil­lion tonnes, mainly due to good rice out­put.

The IMD, mean­while, also is­sued the op­er­a­tional fore­cast for the 2018 north­east mon­soon sea­son, which causes 30 per cent of the an­nual rain­fall, largely con­fined to south­ern parts of the coun­try.

Rain­fall over south Penin­sula (Tamil Nadu, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Ray­alaseema, Ker­ala and South In­te­rior Kar­nataka) is most likely to be nor­mal (89-111 per cent of the long pe­riod av­er­age (LPA)) with a ten­dency to be in the pos­i­tive side of the nor­mal, it said.

The LPA of the north­east mon­soon rain­fall over the south Penin­sula for the base pe­riod, 1951-2000, is 332.1 mm.

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