Business Standard

BRITAIN ECONOMY SUFFERS BIGGEST SLUMP IN 300 YRS

GDP shrank by 9.9% last year amid Covid-19 lockdowns

- DAVID GOODMAN

The UK economy grew at double the pace expected in the fourth quarter, capping a year that delivered the worst slump since 1709.

Gross domestic product rose 1 per cent from the third quarter, fuelled by a boom in constructi­on and government spending. That averted the risk of a second recession early this year but left a 9.9 per cent contractio­n for the whole of 2020, the biggest slump since a Great Frost killed crops across Europe.

The figures add weight to the Bank of England’s view that growth is set to surge as Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s campaign to vaccinate the population takes hold. The central bank’s Chief Economist Andy Haldane expects consumers to unleash an estimated $345 billion of savings that households built up while the economy was locked down.

“A year from now, annual growth could be in the double digits,” Haldane wrote Friday in the

"TODAY'S FIGURES SHOW THAT THE ECONOMY HAS EXPERIENCE­D A SERIOUS SHOCK AS A RESULT OF THE PANDEMIC, WHICH HAS BEEN FELT BY COUNTRIES AROUND THE WORLD"

RISHI SUNAK, FINANCE MINISTER

Daily Mail newspaper.

GDP in the fourth quarter was 7.8 per cent lower than a year earlier, further below pre-pandemic levels than any other Group of Seven economy.

Output grew 1.2 per cent in December alone, recouping some of the loss from the previous month when England was placed in a four-week lockdown.

All the main segments of the economy in the fourth quarter, with constructi­on posting the strongest reading. The outlook for the recovery hinges on the degree of scarring left by the pandemic. Britain's Finance Minister Rishi Sunak said the record fall in GDP was in line with other countries when measured on a comparable basis. “I think it's important to clear up this question of our comparativ­e economic performanc­e actually,” he told UK broadcaste­rs.

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