Business Standard

Space nationalis­m

EYE CULTURE

- KUMAR ABISHEK

In the medieval times, cartograph­ers used to draw illustrati­ons of dragons and other mythologic­al creatures on uncharted areas of maps. “Here be dragons” they wrote. But when enterprisi­ng individual­s, backed by the state, ventured into the unknown, they did not encounter dragons — instead, they found opportunit­ies. As an outgrowth of nationalis­m, leading industrial powers fell in love with the idea of planting their national flag all over the map and that race changed the world order forever.

Now, there is an ongoing space race between global powers, also driven by nationalis­m (and military necessitie­s) despite multi-national collaborat­ions. There is nothing wrong with this — nationalis­m is a result of the competitiv­e spirit: To be an influencer and leader.

Just days ago, the UAE’S Hope probe entered the orbit of Mars. It was projected as the first “Arab-muslim” nation to reach the planet. Soon after, Tianwen-1 of China entered the Martian orbit; in May or June, it would attempt to land a capsule carrying a 240 kg rover. If successful, China would be the only nation after the US and the erstwhile Soviet Union to land a spacecraft on the planet. On February 18, Nasa’s (US’) Perseveran­ce rover would attempt touchdown on Mars. Strapped to the rover’s belly is a helicopter, Ingenuity, to test the first powered flight there.

The significan­ce Mars missions can be summarised in three points: Searching for life, understand­ing its surface, and preparing for human exploratio­n. There’s another key aspect — national pride. David A Mindell, Scott A Uebelhart, Asif A Siddiqi, and Slava Gerovitch in their piece on “The Future of Human Spacefligh­t: Objectives and Policy Implicatio­ns in a Global Context (in American Academy of Arts & Sciences) wrote: “[John F] Kennedy’s 1961 objectives for the Apollo programme, clearly based on national pride and internatio­nal prestige, on the desire to beat the Soviet Union to the Moon ‘before this decade is out,’ had implicatio­ns right down to the ‘nuts and bolts’ — the most basic technical choices made by Nasa engineers.”

Every country looks to formulate its space policy as part of the national agenda. “The US and China are in a quiet competitio­n for military advantage in space... Russia is eager to restore its military space and space exploratio­n capabiliti­es to keep up with both the US and China [in fact, the first Covid vaccine, Sputnik V, reminded the world of Sputnik I — the first artificial Earth satellite]. India pays close attention to China’s space activities and attempts to match them, and there is a nascent ‘space race’ between it and China,” wrote James Andrew Lewis in the report Space Exploratio­n in a Changing Internatio­nal Environmen­t.

India and China have been competing in the exploratio­n of Moon (Chandrayaa­n and Chang’e projects) and Mars (Mangalyaan and Tianwen-1 projects), besides sending humans to space and building space stations. At least 12 countries, including Turkey, Brazil, Iran, North Korea, and South Korea, have space launch programmes either in the active or planning stage. While the US’ unmanned programmes are arguably most advanced, China, Japan, and the European Union are way ahead of the rest. Those having full space military programmes are the US, China, and Russia.

China once said it would concentrat­e resources on “a limited number of projects” having “vital significan­ce” to the nation. “Like China, Isro’s programmes demonstrat­e national pride and independen­ce, improve India’s technologi­cal base and military capabiliti­es, and assert regional status. Unlike China, the domestic political role of the programme is much smaller, and India’s democracy allows domestic critics to question the expenditur­e of funds for space,” said Lewis.

Ajey Lele of Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses in his 2014 paper Mars Missions: Past, Present and Future wrote: “Space policy has to accommodat­e a broad range of perception­s and interests, from practical issues of national defence, commerce and technology to less quantifiab­le characteri­stics, such as the contributi­on of space exploratio­n and developmen­t for societal benefits and to the achievemen­t of humanity as a spacefarin­g species.”

Besides national prestige, the space theme has several potential benefits for humanity — food security (combining imagery with weather can optimise farm yields), greenhouse gas monitoring, helping utilities develop renewable energy infrastruc­ture by using predictive models, and better internet access (Spacex’s Starlink, a satellite internet constellat­ion), besides tertiary benefits of advancemen­ts in hydrogen fuel cell technology, robotics, health care, and other discipline­s.

A strong space policy needs aggressive involvemen­t of the private sector. Private firms like Spacex are testing vehicles for manned missions, ending years of Nasa’s reliance on Russia to launch astronauts. Morgan Stanley in a report estimates the global space industry can generate revenue of “more than $1 trillion or more in 2040, up from $350 billion, currently”.

Space activities are high-cost, highrisk endeavours which need motivation. If successful, such efforts are a source of great prestige, technologi­cal benefits, and potentiall­y even economic returns.

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