Business Today

…AND FACTORS THAT MAY HELP HER STEER THE ECONOMY

INTEREST RATES TOUCH ROCK BOTTOM 444 INDUSTRY SHOWS SIGNS OF COMING BACK TO LIFE

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The implementa­tion of the massive infrastruc­ture scheme that the government has announced should start quickly. The Budget is an appropriat­e juncture for that.

Reforms pay off with a lag. We had reforms in 1991, but growth touched 8 per cent in the 2000 decade. For lifting the growth potential, efficiency enhancing reforms should continue and not be a single event.

Shah: Our exports are not competitiv­e due to power and logistics costs. In India, power for agricultur­e is free and transmissi­on and distributi­on losses are high. Manufactur­ers pay more for power because of this unfair burden sharing. Can the Budget take away the extra burden? Globally, most cargo moves on water, followed by the railways and road. Environmen­tally, too, road is more polluting. But our railway freight bears the burden of passenger subsidy {and is uncompetit­ive}.

The second thing the Budget should do relates to the PLI Scheme. We need to learn from mistakes in the Textiles Upgradatio­n Fund ( TUF) Scheme. Honest entreprene­urs took far less loans from TUF while crooks borrowed more. Easy TUF financing is the source of some

 ?? 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 24 January 2021 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 250 200 150 100 50 0 - 50 -100 ?? TANMOY CHAKRABORT­Y
GDP Growth Projection­s (%)
Exports ($ bn) * Calendar year 2020 2019-20
Repo Rate (%)
CPI ( Y- o-Y % change)
Jan 2019
Oct 2020
GDP ( Y- o-Y% change)
Mar, 2013
Jan 2019
Y- o-Y % change
Quarter ended
IIP ( Y- o-Y % change)
Sep, 2020
Oct 2020
350 300 250 200 150 100 50 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 24 January 2021 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 250 200 150 100 50 0 - 50 -100 TANMOY CHAKRABORT­Y GDP Growth Projection­s (%) Exports ($ bn) * Calendar year 2020 2019-20 Repo Rate (%) CPI ( Y- o-Y % change) Jan 2019 Oct 2020 GDP ( Y- o-Y% change) Mar, 2013 Jan 2019 Y- o-Y % change Quarter ended IIP ( Y- o-Y % change) Sep, 2020 Oct 2020

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