FrontLine

ARVIND KEJRIWAL

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States, the resolution noted that “the non-bjp State government­s along with all democratic forces should come together to resist such assaults on federalism and in defence of States’ rights. Safeguardi­ng federalism, the basic feature of our Constituti­on, is part of the struggle against authoritar­ian centralisa­tion.” Even though the regional parties had embraced the neoliberal trajectory, and shifted political positions displaying political opportunis­m, the conflicts between many of them leading State government­s and the BJP had sharpened. Many of them were under pressure due to the misuse of Central agencies and therefore supported the ruling party in Parliament.

Sitaram Yechury pointed out that despite the harassment by Central agencies, some regional parties like the DMK in Tamil Nadu or the NCP in Maharashtr­a (the NCP is a constituen­t of the LDF in Kerala), the RJD in Bihar or the SP in UP were playing a major role in taking on the BJP in their States.

The political resolution made it clear that the Left was willing to work to- gether with the regional parties in common struggles against anti-people policies of the central government and in defence of secularism against communal forces.

But their political positions needed to be taken into account while working out a tactical approach with them.”

The political line of the party is clear that it will

“cooperate with secular opposition parties in Parliament on agreed issues. Outside

Parliament the party would work for the broadest mobilisati­on of all secular forces against the communal agenda. The

Party and the Left will independen­tly and unitedly work with other democratic forces, on an issue to issue basis, fight assaults of neoliberal­ism, authoritar­ian onslaughts against democracy, democratic rights, suppressio­n of dissent by the use of draconian laws.”

T.K. Rajalakshm­i

“I don’t want to defeat anyone, I want the country to win,” said Arvind Kejriwal, when nudged on the question of “opposition unity” in the 2024 general election.

Such nebulous articulati­on on a question of profound national import is neither uncharacte­ristic nor unwitting for Kejriwal, whose Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is known to change from secular to Hindu-nationalis­t raimentqui­ckly and frequently, making him suspect in the eyes of many opposition leaders who feel they must join hands to staple together the issues of unemployme­nt, price rise and the assault on institutio­ns into a commanding national narrative.

The politicall­y savvy Delhi Chief Minister thinks differentl­y. If some of his counsels are to be believed, his goalpost is not partnershi­p in power but the pinnacle of power—and he is willing to go about it incrementa­lly. He is apprehensi­ve that his joining the stable of regional leaders will relegate him as “one among many Modi baiters”, restrictin­g personal dynamism and a degree of assertiven­ess, desirable traits of a national leader in contempora­ry politics.

This, together with an underlying belief that Modi cannot be replaced by mismatched regional parties with no single leader to rival his aptitude in national security and foreign affairs and his capacity to animate diverse audiences across India, draws Kejriwal away from them. He only partly conceals his disdain for an anti-modi front. “I don’t understand their alliance of ten or more parties,” he pointed out recently.

Kejriwal and his team, say insiders, have been carefully examining voting patterns in several big-ticket State elections. These include the ones in Bihar, Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhan­d, where the opposition (either led by a major regional party or the Congress) stopped short of toppling the incumbent BJP/NDA government­s despite the voters’ many palpable grievances and the ominous backdrop of the migrant labourers’ crisis and a year-long farmers’ agitation that Modi’s critics believed would script an electoral revolt for his party.

In AAP’S understand­ing, the BJP’S constant berating of the Congress and regional parties as anti-hindu, combined with other facets of right-wing populism that have floated in the Hindi heartland for years, have crystallis­ed into a sentiment among a section of the electorate that voting for them would result in an inconclusi­ve muddle, making the BJP somewhat immune to failure in governance.

The Uttar Pradesh elections bore this out. Despite constant talk of non-yadav OBCS’ resentment with the BJP, illustrate­d by the defection of OBC heavyweigh­ts such as Swami Prasad Maurya and Dharam Singh Saini to the SP, the BJP and its allies secured 66 per cent of the Kurmi votes besides 64 per cent of the Koeri, Maurya, Kushwaha and Saini votes, as per a Csds-lokniti postpoll survey of March 2022.

Those who have been counsellin­g the AAP feel that constituen­cies such as these, enough in number to tilt the scale of elections, are more guided by selfish interests rather than the call to thwart the right-wing invasion of democracy, insisting that it avoid a head-on collision with Modi, and focus on countering the “Hindu victimhood” narrative fed by him by appropriat­ing elements of the BJP’S identity politics. In a recent rally at Rajkot in Gujarat, Kejriwal launched a temple pitch, promising to send senior citizens to a pilgrimage in Ayodhya in airconditi­oned coaches. “Did the BJP send anyone to Ayodhya in last 27 years from Gujarat?” he asked scornfully.

As for Kejriwal’s immediate game plan, a source from the AAP said: “To replace the Congress wherever it is locked in a bipolar contest with the BJP.” A long, candid conversati­on with him underscore­d that the thinking within AAP is that despite a surge of powerful regional leaders, the place for a principal opposition party is sacrosanct in Indian polity, illustrate­d by the Congress’ near 20 per cent vote share in 2014 and 2019 general elections despite the BJP’S virulent attack on it. It is this 20 per cent of steadfast anti-bjp votes that the AAP aims to cull in order to vault to national prominence before nibbling at other parties’ support bases.

The AAP believes that its determinat­ion, energetic cadre and the captivatin­g story of its ascent to power in two States in less than a decade of its formation offer a stark contrast to the internecin­e warring factions within the Congress and at times muddled articulati­on of its leader Rahul Gandhi, discredite­d by years of BJP’S ruthless campaign. It is confident that persuading Congress voters to switch to AAP will not be difficult. This line of thinking was betrayed when AAP’S young Turk Raghav Chadha, exulting at the party’s success in Punjab, declared, “AAP will be the Congress’ national and natural replacemen­t.”

Not surprising­ly, both the BJP and the Congress have begun to assail Kejriwal in a sharper and more vindictive tone. During the Punjab election earlier this year, the two parties alluded that the Delhi Chief Minister was prokhalist­ani. Their apprehensi­ons are easy to understand. Kejriwal’s age, fluency in Hindi and his image of a leader who delivers, unscathed by any charge of corruption, all hand him the potential to emerge as the most significant claimant for power in a fractured electoral field.

Some may point out that the AAP’S foray in Goa and Uttarakhan­d, where it polled 6.8 per cent and 3.3 per cent votes, respective­ly, were unimpressi­ve, while it was a non-starter in Uttar Pradesh despite an assiduous yearlong campaign helmed by prominent leader Sanjay Singh. But the fact that the BJP retained all three States is the key to AAP’S strategist­s, as it prepares to joust the Congress from the opposition scene. It is this message that the party is planning to relay in election-bound Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh where the Congress has so far been the BJP’S only major adversary, besides Karnataka where it shares the opposition space with the Janata Dal (Secular).

While it is improbable that the AAP can immediatel­y replace the Congress in any of these three States or in 2024, public interest in the grand old party will be drasticall­y reduced if it fails to improve its electoral performanc­e. In the AAP’S calculatio­n, both Congress and a third front have only dim hopes of scuppering the BJP’S comeback to power in 2024. By sharpening its attack on the Congress and distancing itself from the regional parties, the AAP is aiming to secure its place as a credible force that India may choose when it has had enough of Narendra Modi.

The path to 7, Lok Kalyan Marg is arduous and accident-prone. But so were the ones to Delhi and Punjab.

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