The message from Kolkata
The opposition’s narrative is robust but there are hurdles too
Arange of opposition parties came together to address a rally in Kolkata on Saturday. In a way, this is another step in a process that kicked off many months ago. Some of these parties have been coordinating in Parliament; allying with each other in states; holding consultations; and lending their support to protests.
But the scale of the Kolkata rally and the show of strength represents a leap in the way they plan to frame the 2019 election.
They had a common target: the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in general; and Prime Minister Narendra Modi and party chief, Amit Shah, in particular. The election was presented as a binary — of the BJP alone on one side with the rest of the country on the other. The allies also had a robust narrative, which centred on the government’s failures of economic management and its treatment of institutions. So despite their specific political histories, the opposition parties were telling voters that the continuation of the BJP in power would be a threat to democracy and the Constitution; and it would further imperil livelihoods of the young and the poor. As polls approach, expect to hear more of this even as the government works to convince the electorate that its record has been credible.
But three shortcomings came across at the rally. One, the Opposition had a critique but did not offer an alternative political programme, an alternative agenda that it would implement if voted to power. Without this, converting disillusionment against the regime into any attraction for the opposition will be difficult. Two, it was clear that there exist contradictions among the same parties. The event was shepherded by the Trinamool Congress, and attended by the Congress, which is a local rival. It saw both the Samajwadi Party and the Bahujan Samaj Party share the stage with the Congress, which they have not included in the UP alliance. But the most obvious weakness, which the BJP will tap into as campaigning begins, is the absence of a common leadership. Mamata Banerjee and Mayawati are both PM contenders; the Congress, if it crosses a threshold, may want to retain leadership; and several leaders from smaller parties believe they can emerge as compromise candidates. The opposition has made it clear that the question will be addressed only after the polls. But the voters may want assurance before, especially if the election turns presidential.