Hindustan Times (East UP)

UP’s GSDP grows 19.6% in first quarter

- Umesh Raghuvansh­i uraghuvans­hi@hindustant­imes.com

Uttar Pradesh’s estimates for the Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) show an increase of 19.6% in the first quarter of 2021-22 (April to June 2021) as against the contractio­n of 22.5% in the correspond­ing period in 2020-21, according to the State Planning Institute (Economics and Statistics Division), Uttar Pradesh.

The GSDP (at constant prices) in the first quarter of 2021-22 is estimated to be ₹2,30,673.02 crore vis-à-vis ₹ 1,92,896.17 crore in the correspond­ing period in 2020-21. GSDP in the first quarter of 2019-2020 was ₹ 2,57,639.79 crore.

The GSDP (at current prices) is estimated to be Rs 4,05,835 crore in 2021-22. Uttar Pradesh’s GSDP shrank by nearly 5.9% in 2020-21 following the adverse impact of Covid-19 on the state economy. The estimated increase of 19.6% in the GSDP, therefore, indicates that the Covid-19 affected economy is fast recovering in the state but it is yet to reach the pre-pandemic level.

“Yes, these estimates show that the state economy has made a sharp recovery in Q1 of 2021-22 after the whopping contractio­n of 26.2% in GSDP in Q1 and 5.9% in the whole year of FY21. But these estimates have to be seen in the right perspectiv­e. Firstly, the high growth of 19.6% in the GSDP is due to “low base effect” as this growth comes over a huge contractio­n of GSDP in Q1 of 2020-21. Secondly, the loss in GSDP caused by Covid-19 is yet to be fully made up as the GSDP (₹ 2,30,673.02 cr) in Q1 of FY 22 is lower by 13.3% compared to the GSDP (₹ 2,61,265.50 crore) in the correspond­ing quarter of pre- pandemic year 2019-20,” said Professor Yashvir Tyagi, former head of the department

of economics, Lucknow University. Minister for finance Suresh Khanna, while briefing media persons recently, claimed a consistent increase in the state’s revenue collection­s and said UP’s economy was coming back to near normal. The Gross State Value Added estimates for the period show the highest growth in the secondary sector (40.9%) followed by tertiary (16.3%) and the primary (5.8%) sectors in the first quarter of 2021-22. In 2020-21, the contractio­n was 4.5% in the primary, 42.9% in the secondary and 22.8% in the tertiary sectors.

IN 2020-21, THE CONTRACTIO­N WAS 4.5% IN PRIMARY, 42.9% IN THE SECONDARY AND 22.8% IN TERTIARY SECTORS.

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