1 WORLD’S 10TH BIGGEST HOT SPOT
If we compare the outbreak in the 10 worst-hit countries from the day they reported their 100th confirmed case, we see that India’s growth rate has been much ‘flatter’ than others. India’s trajectory has not shown any sign of slowing down; it appears to be tracking that of Brazil’s – the country with the world’s second highest number of cases. India’s current cases (over 138,000) are where Brazil was around 15 days ago. This means that unless India's rate of increase of cases sees a drop, we may be on the same trajectory as Brazil – reporting an average of 15,000 new cases daily. This rise of cases is also reflected if we look at India’s doubling rate of around 13 days, which means that assuming the trajectory does not drop, we may be looking at around 270,000 total cases in about 13 days.