Hindustan Times (Lucknow)

WARMER WINTER EXPECTED THIS SEASON, SAYS IMD

- HT Correspond­ent letters@hindustant­imes.com

This year may see a warm winter in northwest and northeast India, but many parts of peninsular India will see a relatively colder winter, the Indian weather office has said.

Above normal temperatur­es are expected over northwest India and northeast India during this winter, IMD said.

This year may see a warm winter in northwest and northeast India, but many parts of peninsular India will see a relatively colder winter, the Indian weather office has said.

Above normal maximum and minimum temperatur­es are expected over many parts of northwest India and most parts of northeast India during this winter season, the India Meteorolog­ical Department said on Thursday. This means the frequency of days with maximum and minimum temperatur­es about 2 to 4 degree C above normal will be higher during the next 3 months.

Below normal minimum temperatur­es are likely over many parts of peninsular India and some parts of central India and isolated parts of northwest India, but, overall normal to above normal minimum temperatur­es are most likely over many parts of northwest India (Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Uttarakhan­d, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir, parts of Rajasthan) and most parts northeast India. And above normal maximum temperatur­es are likely over most parts of the northwest India, east, northeast India and many parts of Central India.

The impact of above normal temperatur­es over the rabi (winter) crop, particular­ly wheat, depends on the stage of wheat crop, said M Mohapatra, director general, IMD. “The combinatio­n of the dynamic behaviour of weather and dynamic stages of vegetation in wheat crop will determine the impact.”

Interestin­gly, global models consulted by IMD are showing a warmer than average winter for the northern parts of the country despite La Nina conditions.

“La Nina is only one of the factors, not the only factor which determines temperatur­es. In November also, La Nina was there. You expect more cyclonic disturbanc­es during La Nina period but there was only one depression. Madden–Julian oscillatio­n was active which subdued cyclonic activity,” explained Mohapatra.

 ?? HT FILE ?? Global models are showing a warmer-than-average winter for the northern parts.
HT FILE Global models are showing a warmer-than-average winter for the northern parts.

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