Kerala, West Bengal prefer older lawmakers
States with high development indicators such as Kerala and West Bengal tend to vote in older members of Parliament and legislative assemblies than the rest of India, according to an HT analysis.
Looking at the average ages of winners in Lok Sabha and assembly elections since 2008 in each Lok Sabha seat, the average age of winning candidates in Kerala is 55.4 years while that of West Bengal is 54.7. Only Tripura votes older candidates with an average age of 55.5. The northeastern state of Meghalaya votes in candidates at least 10 years younger, with winners there having an average age of 45.7 years.
So when states such as Kerala and West Bengal vote in older candidates, what does that mean?
Does that mean people there like their political representatives to be mature and experienced? Or that parties there have a penchant for putting up older candidates? Whatever the case, all this means is that it is harder for younger candidates to break into electoral politics in these states. Only elections after 2008, or to be precise the Karnataka assembly polls of that year, were taken into account in this analysis. Because of delimitation, a process in which borders of Lok Sabha and assembly seats were redrawn using population figures, constituencies before and after 2008 aren’t comparable.
Also, results of by-elections weren’t taken into account because of the absence of organised data on the Election Commission website for the ages of bypoll winners.
We included assembly election results here because each Lok Sabha constituency is comprised of several assembly seats.
So if we were to analyse how voters in different parliamentary seats voted in terms of age, look-
NEWDELHI :
AVERAGE AGE OF WINNERS (in years) 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 ing at how the same voters voted in intervening assembly polls would only improve our understanding of how they vote.
Now if we look at individual seats as opposed to whole states, there are just three seats — Nabarangapur in Odisha, Daman & Diu and Lakshadweep — that have election winners with an average age under 40.
There are clusters of seats with representatives whose average ages were between 40 and 50.
They are in eastern Uttar Pradesh, the Tirhut region in Bihar, coastal Andhra Pradesh, and the Trichy region in Tamil Nadu, to name a few.
If we were to restrict the analysis to candidates under 40 and see where they have won elections in India, we find there are 66 seats around India where a person under 40 has won one out of four elections (Lok Sabha and assembly polls combined since 2008).
There are 16 such seats in eastern Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, which may be a reflection of how the distribution of population in those areas is shifting towards the young. Under-40 candidates winning in these areas might be a