Hindustan Times (Noida)

What is the actual fiscal stimulus in the budget?

- By Roshan Kishore

If there is one point on which the Union Budget 2021-22 has received bipartisan praise, it is the fiscal transparen­cy it has brought into budgetary calculatio­ns. By bringing hitherto uncounted expenditur­e heads into the budgetary numbers, and accounting for past dues, the budget has done away with the dubious practice of artificial­ly underrepor­ting the fiscal deficit numbers. While this is a welcome developmen­t, it has also raised questions on the exact amount of fiscal stimulus the budget provided in 2020-21 and will provide in 2021-22. One argument is that since one-off expenses such as clearing past dues were part of the 2020-21 spend (revised estimates), then the increase in government spending in 2021-22 is much higher than the around 1% the budget documents show. A report in Bloomberg Quint hypothesis­ed that the number could be as high as 9%.

Here are three charts which can help us understand this.

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