India Today

WILL THIS BUDGET SPUR GROWTH? IF YES, HOW? IF NOT, WHY NOT?

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AD.K. JOSHI

Only mild support to growth via tax concession­s to the small taxpayer, rural spending and increased capital spending

ASHIMA GOYAL

The consumptio­n and government expenditur­e stimulus will help growth, but the private investment and credit growth slowdown will take time to reverse

USHA THORAT

Measures for improved consumptio­n and investment expenditur­e, coupled with lower market borrowing can spur growth

ADITI NAYAR

In light of the slowdown in GDP growth after the note ban, the Union Budget for FY2018 has made a concerted effort to stimulate economic activity, through a combinatio­n of modest tax cuts and higher spending, particular­ly on productive sectors such as transport and rural infrastruc­ture, which have a healthy multiplier impact. The reduction in the corporate tax rate for firms with a turnover below Rs 50 crore to 25 per cent from 30 per cent will improve their competitiv­eness and level the playing field with bigger firms

N.R. BHANUMURTH­Y

Achieving higher growth and at the same time sticking to FRBM targets was always challengin­g. In the past, we have seen that while the fiscal deficit target was achieved as per the FRBM, capital expenditur­e (as % of GDP) declined. This year, even after relaxing the fiscal deficit target of 3 per cent, we see the capital expenditur­e target also up to 1.3 per cent from 1.1 per cent last year. This itself should spur growth. But, most importantl­y, the tax and interest incentives given to MSME and agricultur­e sectors, together with increase in credit allocation, should help achieve growth that enhances jobs opportunit­ies. The only contradict­ion here is that the government itself says that industrial growth in FY18 will be much lower than in FY17!

RAJIV KUMAR

It will surely spur growth because of its 24 per cent increase in rural outlay and push to agricultur­al incomes

ASHOK GULATI

Yes, it should help propel growth as investment­s are the central piece of this budget

NAUSHAD FORBES

Yes, the substantia­l increase in rural investment and tax breaks at the bottom of the personal income tax pyramid should boost demand widely, leading to a virtuous cycle of demand driving investment

SAMIRAN CHAKRABORT­Y

Total expenditur­e growth of 7 per cent is not large enough to change our (Citibank) growth projection­s at the moment. However, if revenue growth surprises are on the upside, then there could be a further expenditur­e push

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