SARS-COV-2: VARIANTS DETECTED IN INDIA
SARS-COV-2 VARIANTS: WHAT WE KNOW SO FAR
Over the past few days, we have seen a slow creeping, yet worrying, rise in the number of COVID-19 cases reported per day in Mumbai. There could be many possible reasons for this:
• Many businesses have reopened and restarted working from the office
• There have also been an increased number of outdoor and indoor gatherings
• It is possible that people have started to be lax about precautions
• The last possibility is that virus variants with increased transmissibility are starting to spread in India
WHAT IS A VARIANT?
The coronavirus has an RNA genome with -30,000 bases. As the virus spread across the world over the past year, it has undergone mutations. A new virus variant is one which has one or more mutations that differentiate it from the ‘wild-type’ or predominant virus variants already circulating among the general population. Many mutations do not affect the virus’s ability to spread or cause disease because they do not alter the major proteins involved in infection; eventually, these are outcompeted by variants with mutations that provide survival and propagation advantages to the virus — Darwinism at work.
Genomic surveillance of the emerging variants has been an ongoing process with studies being done to evaluate the following characteristics of every new variant:'1'
• The ability to spread more quickly and efficiently.'1'
• The ability to cause milder or more severe disease.
• In January 2021, experts in the UK reported that B.1.1.7 variant may be associated with an increased risk of death compared to other variants."'
• The ability to evade detection by RTPCR tests.
• Currently no variant can completely evade the RT-PCR kits in use, mostly because they all use multiple targets. As of now, only the S-gene detection has been found to be affected.'3'
• Decreased susceptibility to therapeutics that employ monoclonal antibodies.
• The ability to evade natural or vaccineinduced immunity.
• Both vaccination against and natural infection with SARS-CoV-2 produce a “polyclonal” response that targets several parts of the spike protein. The virus would likely need to accumulate multiple mutations in the spike protein to evade immunity induced by vaccines or by natural infection.'2'
Among these possibilities, the last—the ability to evade vaccine-induced immunity—would likely be the more concerning because once a large proportion of the population is vaccinated, there will be immune pressure that could favor and accelerate the emergence of such variants by selective pressure (su of the fittest.
IMPLICATIONS IN DIAGNOSIS USING RT-PCR
One of the major concerns with regards to the emergence of these new variants is the possibility that the mutations may affect the ability of current RT-PCR tests in detecting the virus. It has been seen that the B.1.1.7 variant has 2 deletions at positions 69 and 70 which cause S-gene target (failure (SGTF) in at least one RT-PCR—based diagnostic assay."' However, the variants with the deI69—70 produce a negative result for S-gene target and a positive result for the other two targets — so the results will still be positive 3
The general take away is to avoid any RT-PCR kits which have a single S-gene target and instead, use kits with 2 or more different gene targets for detection of the SARS-CoV-2 virus.‹3›
DETECTION AND CONFIRMATION OF VARIANTS
Currently, detection and confirmation of variants is possible only” by genomic sequencing of the virus, currently done by the central institutes. However, suspicion may be raised for some variants if there is a discordance in the results amongst the various targets of the RT-PCR assay."'
EFFICACY OF VACCINES AGAINST THE NEW VARIANTS
Of the 3 variants we have discussed, the UK variant has been found to be susceptible to the current vaccines available in India. The other two variants are of concern in this matter. The mutations that these 2 variants have seem to provide some protection against antibodies. In vitro studies have raised the possibility of immune escape i.e the ability to evade the immune system 131417. However, data is still being analyzed and all for sure in the days to come.