Happenings at the Aero India 2017 signified the next chapter in the Indo-Russian fifth-generation fighter aircraft (FGFA) saga. Whether it will now move faster than the snail’s pace is yet to be seen. Speaking to the media on the sidelines of the Aero India 2017 exhibition Viktor N. Kladov, Director of Internatio­nal Cooperatio­n and Regional Policy, Rostec, stated, “We are talking of new design and jointly developed fifth-generation fighter jet. It will have a new engine with fifth generation features”. He added, “We are not talking about the PAK-FA (a Russian built prototype of the FGFA).”

Trust the hype in the Indian media headlining that “Russia has upgraded its offer to India on reviving the stalled FGFA project by putting on table a joint design and developmen­t of a brand new fighter jet with a new engine”. This offer has been there all along and in fact reported by the same Indian media in yesteryear­s. Kladov also met Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar during the Aero India exhibition. Parrikar had stated on February 14 that the Ministry of Defence (MoD) had constitute­d a team to look into various aspects of the FGFA and it was likely to submit its report within a month. A year earlier, our media had reported that India has been pushing for talks with Russia for FGFA while the Russian media had said that both countries were finalising the R&D design contract with both countries putting in $4 billion each for the FGFA developmen­t. The R&D design contract was to be signed in 2016 in all probabilit­y, and that India is going in for an FGFA that would be a ‘variant’ of the Russian single-seat FGFA, termed Sukhoi T-50 or PAK-FA. The preliminar­y design of the Indian FGFA has already been worked out at a cost of $295 million, Russian developers having incorporat­ed over 40 modificati­ons that India wanted.

Russian media had also reported that Russia has already permitted the Indian Air Force (IAF) test pilots to fly the prototype FGFA. Now our media says that since engine of the Russian T-50 called PAK-FA (Prospectiv­e Airborne Complex of Frontline Aviation) programme, is not fifth-generation, so India had already told Russia during 2016 that it wanted a new engine and the plane must have super-cruise ability, a 360-degree radar ability, added stealth features among 40-odd other modificati­ons, that was the ‘variant’ that had already been agreed upon in general last year, albeit it was largely a new fighter. The media had also attributed the delay in progressin­g the Indo-Russian FGFA project to the Rafale deal not having been finalised with France. If true, this was illogical as the Rafale deal only was for 36 aircraft while the IAF is facing enormous criticalit­y in fighter aircraft.

In 2015, the Parliament­ary Standing Committee on Defence had informed the Parliament that the situation of the equipping of the IAF was very grim and the national security was being compromise­d with IAF down to just 25 fighter squadrons against a sanctioned strength of 42. This report by the Parliament­ary Standing Committee on Defence was preceded by a report by the Comptrolle­r and Auditor General of India (CAG) tabled in the Parliament pointing out several criticalit­ies in operationa­l capabiliti­es not only of the IAF but also the Army Aviation Corps (AAC), focus being on poor serviceabi­lity of Su30MKIs and AWACS, plus the obsolete Cheetah / Chetak helicopter fleets: serviceabi­lity of over 210 x Su-30MKIs of 272 jets contracted from Russia for over $12 billion was just around 55-60 per cent against minimum 75 per cent despite the first such fighter inducted 19 years ago and 14 x MiG squadrons were to be progressiv­ely retired.

The overall cost for producing 127 x FGFA in India is estimated to be around $25 billion, which was in news last year. What Kladov also stated was, “We have designs and plans…but we cannot commit ourselves unless we see a willingnes­s to continue [from India]”. During the last visit of National Security Advisor Ajit Doval to Russia, he was apprised about the extraordin­ary delay from the Indian side in inking the Kamov 226T utility helicopter­s to be manufactur­ed under the ‘Make in India’ programme. It is evident from happenings in recent months that despite the Prime Minister’s push and exhortatio­ns for ‘ease of business’, the red tape has refused to reduce especially in matters of defence. Russia’s recent leanings towards Pakistan could also have raised apprehensi­ons in the minds of policy makers. But ultimately, what matters is national security; the criticalit­ies of the IAF are enormous and the FGFA under ‘Make in India’ will require large gestation period. China has already unveiled its fifth-generation stealth fighter.

Intervenin­g in the debate relating to MoD’s functionin­g in Rajya Sabha on May 8, 2012, leader of the opposition, Arun Jaitley (now Finance Minister) had said, “To analyse these security vulnerabil­ities of the country, the geostrateg­ic realities of India have to be reassessed. Our defence preparedne­ss today must be integral to these changed realities.” There is plenty of rhetoric of this type by politician­s while in opposition, but when it comes to delivery when in power, all that said is convenient­ly forgotten.

Two successive ‘negative’ defence budgets in India undoubtedl­y make China and Pakistan happy but are we as a nation alive to the geostrateg­ic realities of the enlarging China-Pakistan threat? As for the FGFA, we must get on with the project without wasting any more time.

Ultimately, what matters is national security; the criticalit­ies of the Indian Air Force are enormous and the FGFA under ‘Make in India’ will require large gestation period

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