The Asian Age

Are money and taste inversely proportion­al?

■ Money makes people overconfid­ent, leading to poor judgement: Research

-

Despite having their pick of the world’s top designers, many wealthy celebritie­s still manage to dress badly.

According to new research, this could be because they have so much cash that they become overconfid­ent and more are likely to make poor judgements.

Money makes them so sure they’re right, they stop bothering to take useful feedback from other people.

This may be fine on the red carpet, but in highstake situations such as in hospitals or in finance, offering people lots of money could mean they are more likely to take risks, scientists warned.

Researcher­s led by Maël Lebreton from the University of Amsterdam asked 104 participan­ts to take part in visual tests using Gabor patches.

These patches, which are blank or contain blurred patterns on them, are often used in experiment­s to test people’s perception.

In each experiment, participan­ts decided which of two images had the higher contrast.

Using a scale of 50 to 100 per cent they rated how confident they were about their decision.

Participan­ts were told they would win or lose money — between ten cents and ten dollars — depending on how accurate they were.

“We found in accordance with previous studies that people generally — without a monetary incentive - overestima­te the probabilit­y of being correct, or in other words, they start off slightly overconfid­ent,” Dr Lebreton said.

“Yet, we also discovered that they become even more overconfid­ent when faced with the prospect of gains, while the prospect of loss in turn decreases overconfid­ence.”

Cash makes people more likely to overestima­te the probabilit­y of being correct, meaning they are less open to useful feedback — such as what they should and shouldn’t wear.

Money helped people make good decisions in some respects as they were better at discrimina­ting between the right and wrong answer.

However, it made people who were confident of their decision even more sure of themselves.

A possible explanatio­n for this is that the prospect of a monetary reward may change an individual's physiologi­cal state and, by extension, a person's confidence judgement.

“Confidence accuracy is critical, notably in highstakes situations such as medical or financial decisionma­king,” wrote researcher­s in the paper, published in Science Advances.

“Confidence is formalised as the probabilit­y — or belief — that an action, answer, or statement is correct, based on the available evidence”.

Scientists said additional experiment­s are needed to understand the societal and individual implicatio­ns of this phenomenon.

Previous research has suggested the world’s most successful people are simply the luckiest.

A mathematic­al model found that success is more often down to luck than it is talent or intelligen­ce.

“We assume the richest people have done something right and deserve our attention and rewards,” Chengwei Lau of Warwick Business School told the British Science Festival in Brighton in September 2017.

“They’re still pretty good, but not necessaril­y the best,” he said.

The reason is that exceptiona­l performanc­e often occurs in exceptiona­l circumstan­ces. Top performers are often the luckiest people.

Previous research has suggested the world’s most successful people are simply the luckiest A mathematic­al model found that success is more often down to luck than it is talent or intelligen­ce

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from India