The Free Press Journal

Inflationd­ata,globalcues­todrivemar­kets

- - IIP, CPI AND WPI

As the Indian stock market remains largely bullish with intermitte­nt correction and consolidat­ion, wholesale inflation data, global cues along with the trend in the foreign institutio­nal investment­s (FII) will drive the domestic indices in this week, analysts said.

Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Retail Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services noted that post the sharp rally after the budget, the Indian equity market saw some consolidat­ion in the week ended Friday, although it ended on positive note.

Global cues were mixed as prospects of higher US fiscal stimulus and larger vaccine rollouts globally, along with dovish Federal Reserve outlook kept the overall mood positive, he

said.

"Going ahead, with the earnings season largely over, global cues will dictate the short-term market trend. Market would react to the key macro data -- IIP, CPI and WPI data," Khemka said.

The Wholesale Price Index for January, which shows the wholesale inflation rate, will be released on Monday.

Lower food prices, especially those of vegetables and cereals, brought down India's sequential retail price inflation in January 2021. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) released on Friday declined to 4.06% from 4.59% reported for December 2020.

Further, the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for December released on Friday showed that the factory output grew by 1% in December 2020 from a contractio­n of (-) 2.09% in November and rose to 0.4% during the correspond­ing month of the previous year.

Favourable base effect, along with a broad-based rise in production across sectors, accelerate­d India's industrial activity in December.

Motilal Oswal's Khemka added that next week, European Central Bank's monetary policy will also be eyed along with India's trade balance data.

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THIS WEEK

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