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How do extreme climate events impact Asia?

What does the 2023 ‘State of the Climate in Asia’ report say? What does it mean for India?

- Priyali Prakash

India’s early preparedne­ss when dealing with cyclones is commendabl­e, but managing deaths and destructio­n caused by lightning needs improvemen­t, says Sreejith O.P., scientist and lead author on the climate report

The story so far:

Asia has warmed faster than the global average since 1960, the World Meteorolog­ical Organizati­on’s 2023

‘State of the Climate in Asia’ report said. It also reiterated that 2023 was the warmest on record around the world. The climate report also noted an “alarming gap” between climate projection­s and the ability of Asian countries to adapt to and mitigate climate change and its impacts.

What toll did heat exact on Asia?

More than 2,000 people were killed and more than nine million were a‰ected by extreme climate events across Asia in 2023. More than 80% of these events were related to storms and Œoods. The report also recorded several parts experienci­ng severe heat waves, leading to multiple fatalities, but acknowledg­ed that heat-related mortality is widely under-reported. In India, severe heat waves in April and June killed around 110 people. A prolonged heat wave engulfed large parts of South and South-East

Asia in April and May, a‰ecting areas from Bangladesh and eastern India to southern China.

How did oods and storms a ect Asia?

Tropical cyclone Mocha, which a‰ected Myanmar and Bangladesh in May 2023, was the strongest cyclone in the Bay of Bengal in the last decade. Shortly after, Œoods, landslides, and lightning killed around 600 people across India, Pakistan, and Nepal in June and July 2023. In India, Œoods and landslides in August 2023, primarily in Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhan­d, killed at least 25. Lightning accounted for 1,200 deaths around India through the year.

How well can Asia spot a coming disaster?

An early-warning system is an integrated process that monitors, predicts, and forecasts hazards. It also includes activities related to risk-assessment, communicat­ions, and preparedne­ss that allow individual­s, communitie­s, government­s, businesses, etc. to take timely action to mitigate risks.

Thanks to such systems, for example, authoritie­s in Bangladesh had a day’s head-start to prepare for cyclone Mocha and take anticipato­ry action in Cox’s Bazar, which allowed local communitie­s to better survive its landfall. Twenty-one Asian countries reported the status of their early warning systems to the UN. According to the UN Ošce for Disaster Risk Reduction, the average composite score for the availabili­ty of and access to multi-hazard early warning systems was 0.46 out of 1 in Asia; 0.58 for preparedne­ss to respond; and 0.50 for observatio­n and forecastin­g. To compare, the world scored 0.35, 0.78, and 0.33, respective­ly, on average on these counts. Warning and disseminat­ion was the strongest area under the framework for Asia while risk knowledge was the weakest.

According to the report, fewer than half of all Asian countries have the tools to mitigate climate change impact.

What do these ndings mean for India?

“The ¡ndings of the report are in sync with the analysis of our agency,” Sreejith O.P., scientist with the India Meteorolog­ical Department, Pune and a lead author of the State of the Climate in Asia report, told The Hindu. “Extreme climate events are rising globally, including in India. But with improved preparedne­ss, we can minimise the damage. We used early warnings when cyclone Mocha, one of the strongest in the Bay of Bengal, was about to hit. Earlier, similar cyclones have killed thousands of people,” he added. While Dr. Sreejith commended India’s early preparedne­ss when dealing with cyclones, he said managing deaths and destructio­n caused by lightning needs improvemen­t. “The response time for lightning is very less. Although we have built mobile applicatio­ns and other tools, marginalis­ed communitie­s are unable to utilise it,” he said. According to Dr. Sreejith, some groups like farmers who work in ¡elds, are already out and away from sources of informatio­n by the time an alert can be sent.

“While India has historical­ly demonstrat­ed commendabl­e resilience in responding to Œoods, storms, and droughts, the new and escalating challenges posed by climate change — such as unpreceden­ted heatwaves, the retreat of glaciers, and rising sea levels — reveal that our preparedne­ss is alarmingly inadequate,” said Harjeet Singh, Global Engagement Director at the Fossil Fuel Treaty Initiative. “These emerging threats require urgent attention and a strategic overhaul of our current policies and adaptation strategies. It is crucial that we empower our communitie­s with the necessary resources and policies to e‰ectively combat these evolving climatic adversitie­s,” he added.

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